Monday, January 18, 2010

Myanmar election could spark rise in refugees
By Damir Sagolj – Thu Jan 7, 2:12 am ET


MAE SOT, Thailand (Reuters) – The rubbish dump outside the Thai town of Mae Sot steams with rancid rotting fish and other debris, a squalid haven for hundreds of refugees from Myanmar that aid groups say could swell in size this year.

Aid groups are bracing for a rise in refugees from military-ruled Myanmar into neighboring Thailand and China ahead of its first parliamentary elections in two decades this year, potentially straining ties with its neighbors and worsening crowded refugee camps in Thailand.

Some who fled to Thailand are living in dire conditions. In one settlement, about 300 migrants who crossed illegally into Thailand have taken refuge next to mounds of garbage outside Mae Sot, about 5 km (3 miles) from the border.

Life amongst the rubbish beats what they had back home, they said. Some ethnic minorities have faced a military campaign marked by murder, forced labor, rape and the razing of villages.

"I want to stay here and save some money because I can keep what I earn and no one harasses me, even if the job is hard and dirty," said Sen Sen, a 38-year-old ethnic Karen.

People run out of makeshift shacks and line up neatly whenever garbage trucks arrive, waiting to dig through the rubbish as it is unloaded in search of goods for recycling.

Barefoot boys and girls sort through piles of trash, occasionally distracted by the broken toys and mud-caked dolls they uncover.

Sen Sen earns about 100 baht ($3) a day selling plastic, which she said was enough to live on. In Myanmar she had to give almost all the money she managed to earn to military officers as "protection money" and taxes.

The Myanmar junta has long been accused of persecution of the country's ethnic minorities, sparking a continuing exodus. Some 140,000 refugees live in official camps along the Thai-Myanmar border, according to the U.N. refugee agency.

An estimated 37,000 fled into China in August after government forces routed fighters loyal to a Chinese-speaking Kokang ethnic group, earning Myanmar's generals a rare rebuke from China, a crucial ally and investor.

Thousands fled into Thailand in June when the army clashed with the Karen National Union (KNU), a rebel group that has been seeking independence in the eastern hills bordering Thailand for the past 60 years.

REBEL FIGHTING

Aid workers say the number of refugees from the former Burma has slowed in recent months but the situation is delicate, with continued low-intensity fighting between KNU rebels and the Democratic Karen Buddhist Army (DKBA), aligned with the military.

The fighting, they say, suggests little progress in resolving one of the world's longest-running insurgencies, raising the prospect of more instability and more refugees. It also underscores the fragility of the government's ceasefire agreements with more than a dozen armed ethnic groups.

"Up here there is fighting every week," said David Eubank, a relief worker in Myanmar's northern Karen State and director of the Free Burma Rangers, a Christian group that helps refugees inside Myanmar. He said there were no large-scale offensives yet but that Myanmar's military was re-supplying its camps.

Aung Din, executive director of the U.S. Campaign for Burma, an exile group in close contact with Myanmar's ethnic leaders, said forces loyal to the government were also building up supplies after deadly clashes last month.

"The regime's troops in Karen State are gathering food and other supplies," he said.

According to his sources, KNU troops ambushed a regime battalion on December 16, killing a tactical commander and 14 solders and wounding 17. This could not be independently verified.

Three days later, two government soldiers were killed and four wounded in clashes in a rebel-held area controlled by the KNU's sixth brigade.

ELECTION CRITICISED

Myanmar is to hold its first parliamentary election in two decades this year but critics already dismiss it as a ploy to legitimize and extend almost 50 years of military rule.

The regime wants ethnic groups to take part, and their support would help the junta claim the country was fully behind its elections. Critics also say the regime is trying to forcibly recruit rebel fighters for an army-run border patrol force.

They say Myanmar's army is seeking to neutralize the Karen and other ethnic minorities, in part to seize rich natural resources for logging and mining, a crucial revenue source for the impoverished country, Southeast Asia's second largest.

Many of the ethnic groups, including predominantly Christian Karens, do not trust the military and its ethnic Burman leaders who they have long resented and feel they have nothing to gain by taking part in the electoral process.

If they disarm and surrender hard-won autonomy, they could lose control over lucrative trade in natural resources and, in some cases, in opium and methamphetamines.

"The situation at the borders is expected to get worse as pressure will be on the ceasefire groups to transform before elections," said Sally Thompson, deputy director of Thailand Burma Border Consortium, an aid agency that works at Thai government-run refugee camps.

"With the deadline looming for establishing border guard forces, we expect to see an increase in new arrivals of refugees."

Tens of thousands of refugees from Myanmar have been resettled in third countries in recent years.

About two to three million migrants from Myanmar live scattered across Thailand, many working illegally in low-paid jobs. Many may qualify for refugee status, aid groups said.

Some are simply trying to escape grinding poverty.

"Things are bad there. They would rather live in Thailand on a rubbish dump than return," said Ashin Sopaka, a monk who raises money to help migrants at the border.

"Sound sleep here, but not in Burma."
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Thursday, 7 January 2010
Burmese whistle-blowers sentenced to death - BBC source


Two Burmese officials have been sentenced to death for leaking details of secret government visits to North Korea and Russia, the BBC has learned.

The officials were also found guilty of leaking information about military tunnels allegedly built in Burma by North Korea, a source in Burma said.

A third person was jailed for 15 years, the source added.

The military rulers in Burma (Myanmar) have so far made no public comments on the case.

The source told BBC Burmese that Win Naing Kyaw, a former army major, and Thura Kyaw, a clerk at the European desk of Burma's foreign ministry, had been sentenced to death by a court in Rangoon on Thursday.

They were found guilty of leaking information about government visits to North Korea and Russia, which reportedly took place in 2008 and 2006.

The two men were also convicted of leaking details of a network of tunnels reportedly being built in Burma.

It is thought the tunnels were built to house communications systems, possible weapons factories and troops in the event of an invasion.

The third man, Pyan Sein, was given 15 years in prison on Thursday.

Burma still has capital punishment, but it has not carried out executions in recent years.
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Scoop - Burmese Generals Neutralise Opponents
Thursday, 7 January 2010, 3:38 pm
Press Release:
Terry Evans

A Burmese freelance video reporter has been handed a 20-year prison sentence, bringing to 13 the number of imprisoned journalists and bloggers in Burma today.

Hla Hla Win was first arrested on 11 September 2009. In October she received a seven-year sentence for possessing an illegally imported motorcycle. When the junta learned she was associated with an exiled news organisation, she was charged and found guilty of violating the Electronics Act, which prohibits the transmission of information critical of the military regime via the Internet. On 31 December 2009, Hla Hla Win had 20 years added to her original seven-year sentence.

It is now apparent that the junta is intensifying its harassment and imprisonment of the opposition in the run-up to planned elections this year. Burma's ruling generals have a poor track record when it comes to free and fair elections. In 1990 Aung San Suu Kyi and her NLD party won a landslide victory, which the junta chose to ignore. Ironically the architects of the 1990 election are the very same untrustworthy generals who have engineered the sham election scheduled for 2010.

To ensure a favourable result this time round, the generals are neutralising opponents. Currently 2,177 political dissidents are serving lengthy sentences in Burma's notorious labour camps. Aung San Suu Kyi is also under lock and key, thus ensuring this year's general elections are carried out without any significant opposition.
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The Nation - Burmese junta already manipulating upcoming poll
Published on January 7, 2010


With no clear timeline for the planned election, the regime is working to preserve the status quo

Burma's strongman, General Than Shwe, was more than happy to confirm that there will be an election in his country this year. The problem is, and will remain for the foreseeable future, the lack of a clear timeline for when the election will be held. Furthermore, none of the necessary laws and measures to make the upcoming poll transparent, free and fair have not been enacted.

The US State Department has made these points clearly, saying: "We have not seen any meaningful steps by the regime to indicate it is putting in place measures that would lead to credible elections. Much of the opposition's leadership remains in prison, there is no space for political dissent or debate, and no freedom of the press. We continue to urge the Burmese government to address these issues and to engage [the main opposition leader] Aung San Suu Kyi and the democratic opposition, ethnic leaders and other stakeholders in a comprehensive dialogue on democratic reform. This would be a first step towards inclusive elections."

Despite such a strong international appeal, the military regime is still stubborn. Obviously, the junta wants to ensure victory in the election because it would be disastrous if it loses again. In May 1990, the junta cheated in the polls and won by a supposed landslide against the opposition National League for Democracy, led by Suu Kyi. So, the regime will not make the same mistakes again.

The reason for keeping a tight rein over the election date is purely tactical. The announcement will be made when the junta's handpicked cronies are ready to enter the race.

The suspicion is that the election could be held late in the second half of the year, toward the third quarter. The contracts that international humanitarian and relief organisations have with the regime will end in June this year. Renewal of these contracts is not expected. It would take a few weeks for all of their representatives to leave the country. And this is what the junta wants. To hold an election under the watchful eyes of foreign representatives would be a catastrophe.

The regime wants to transform the international relief efforts into votes for it or its surrogates, especially in the area of the Irrawaddy Delta, which was hard-hit by Cyclone Nargis in May 2008. This will not be easy, as these Burmese villagers are now more independent in helping themselves, with some direct assistance from abroad. The role of the burgeoning village-based civil groups, although they are still nascent, could be influential in determining the future of the Burmese junta. The regime is monitoring the activities of local community leaders to prevent any upheaval in the future.

The regime also wants to use the timing to disarm the opposition, including minority groups that have adopted plans to contest the poll. The National League for Democracy, for example, has complained that its representatives are not allowed to hold meetings. Suu Kyi informed top US diplomats of her political plight when they visited her in early November last year.

The regime must come clean on the election. The US and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, of which Burma is a member, have called for an inclusive election that will allow all stakeholders to partake in the political process. So far, the regime has been evasive in its response. It's the same old story of tactical delays.

Of course, after the election there could be dire consequences. After all, everybody can read the tea-leaves. The generals will likely behave as despicably as they always have, closing all loopholes that might jeopardise them in any way. The outcome could affect the Burmese people as never before. If there is obvious rigging of results, the people might not accept the outcome, and that could lead to the same kind of chaos as in 1988 and 1990. The people have been pushed too far already.
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CityNews - UN Resumes Aid Shipments To Myanmar
2008/05/10 | The Associated Press


Myanmar's military regime distributed international aid Saturday but plastered the boxes with the names of top generals in an apparent effort to turn the relief effort for last week's devastating cyclone into a propaganda exercise.

The United Nations sent in three more planes and several trucks loaded with aid, though the junta took over its first two shipments. The government agreed to let a U.S. cargo plane bring in supplies Monday, but foreign disaster experts were still being barred entry.

State-run television continuously ran images of top generals - including the junta leader, Senior Gen. Than Shwe - handing out boxes of aid to survivors at elaborate ceremonies.

One box bore the name of Lt. Gen. Myint Swe, a rising star in the government hierarchy, in bold letters that overshadowed a smaller label reading: "Aid from the Kingdom of Thailand."

"We have already seen regional commanders putting their names on the side of aid shipments from Asia, saying this was a gift from them and then distributing it in their region," said Mark Farmaner, director of Burma Campaign UK, which campaigns for human rights and democracy in the country.

"It is not going to areas where it is most in need," he said in London.

State media say 23,335 people died and 37,019 are missing from Cyclone Nargis, which submerged entire villages in the Irrawaddy delta. International aid organizations say the death toll could climb to more than 100,000 as conditions worsen.

The U.N. estimates that 1.5 million to 2 million people have been severely affected and has voiced concern about the disposal of bodies.

With phone lines down, roads blocked and electricity networks destroyed, it is nearly impossible to reach isolated areas in the delta, complicated by the lack of experienced international aid workers and equipment.

But the junta has refused to grant access to foreign experts, saying it will only accept donations from foreign charities and governments, and then will deliver the aid on its own.

Farmaner said the world needs to move to deliver aid directly to victims in Myanmar, also known as Burma.

"People we are speaking to in Burma say aid must be delivered anyway even if the regime doesn't give permission," he said. "We have had a week to convince the regime to behave reasonably, and they are still blocking aid. So the international community needs to wake up and take bolder steps."

However, aid providers are unlikely to pursue unilateral deliveries like airdrops because of the diplomatic firestorm that it could set off.

So far, relief workers have reached 220,000 cyclone victims, only a small fraction of the number of people affected, the Red Cross said Friday. Three Red Cross aid flights loaded with shelter kits and other emergency supplies landed Friday without incident.

But the government seized two planeloads of high-energy biscuits - enough to feed 95,000 people - sent by the U.N. World Food Program. Despite the seizure, the WFP was sending three more planes Saturday from Dubai, Cambodia and Italy, even though those could be confiscated, too.

"We are working around the clock with the authorities to ensure the kind of access that we need to ensure it goes to people that need it most," WFP spokesman Marcus Prior said in Bangkok, Thailand.

Richard Horsey, a spokesman for U.N. humanitarian operations, said an international presence is needed in Myanmar to look at the logistics of getting boats, helicopters and trucks into the delta area.

"That's a critical bottleneck that must be overcome at this point," he said in Bangkok.

He warned there was a great risk of diarrhea and cholera spreading because of the lack of clean drinking water and sanitation.

"We are running out of time here. This could be a huge problem and this could lead to a second phase which could be as deadly as the cyclone," he said.

Heavy rain forecast in the next week was certain to exacerbate the misery. Diplomats and aid groups warned the number of dead could eventually exceed 100,000 because of illnesses and said thousands of children may have been orphaned.

Survivors from one of the worst-affected areas, near the town of Bogalay, were among those fighting hunger, illness and wrenching loneliness.

"All my 28 family members have died," said Thein Myint, a 68-year-old fisherman who wept while describing how the cyclone swept away the rest of his family. "I am the only survivor."

Officials have said only one out of 10 people who are homeless, injured or threatened by disease and hunger have received some kind of aid since the cyclone hit May 3.

The government's abilities are limited. It has only a few dozen helicopters, most of which are small and old. It also has about 15 transport planes, primarily small jets unable to carry hundreds of tons of supplies.

"Not only don't they have the capacity to deliver assistance, they don't have experience," said Farmaner, the British aid worker. "It's already too late for many people. Every day of delays is costing thousands of lives."
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Money talks to translators in China-ASEAN trade area
www.chinaview.cn 2010-01-07 17:19:24


KUNMING, Jan. 7 (Xinhua) -- Chinese translators of Southeast Asian languages are earning top dollar as demand for their skills has boomed with the launch of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA).

"We need many more ASEAN languages translators," said Ruan Jingping, general manager of Kunming Renyida Translation and Exhibition Cooperation in Yunnan Province, which boarders Vietnam, Laos and Myanmar.

Ruan said the CAFTA would increase demand for translation services and translators. Her company was offering more services to facilitate project contracts, international exchanges and conferences, and would probably expand to tourist and service industries.

The CAFTA, comprising the 11 member states of China, Indonesia, Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia and Myanmar, was launched on Jan. 1. The CAFTA area has a third of the world's people, a ninth of its GDP and the third largest trade volume after the European Union and the North American Free Trade Agreement.

Yunnan Province needed at least 600 ASEAN language translators each of the last two years, according to statistics from the government of Kunming, capital of Yunnan. Kunming government also required its officials aged below 50 to learn basic Vietnamese, Myanmar and Lao.

"Qualified translators of Southeast Asian languages are behind the demand," said Ruan.

To cope with the shortfall, Ruan hired students to translate, but many were not skillful enough. The company paid translators of Southeast Asian languages an average 44 U.S. dollars for every thousand words translated from Chinese, compared with 39 U.S. dollars paid to English translators.

China and ASEAN countries are making efforts to overcome language and cultural barriers. Since 2008, China has signed agreements with Cambodia, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam to recognize each other's academic degrees and to increase educational exchanges.

Hao Ping, China's vice education minister, said on Aug. 6 last year that more than 10 Chinese universities, including Yunnan University of Nationalities, had expanded their language courses to include languages of all ASEAN countries.

Hao said there were 34,735 students from ASEAN countries studying in China and 68,510 Chinese studying in ASEAN countries, and expected both numbers to rise above 100,000 by 2020.

Despite the global economic downturn, Yunnan-ASEAN trade volume rose 9 percent to reach 2.73 billion U.S. dollars in the first 11 months of 2009. The growth encouraged language study in China and ASEAN countries.

Tao Wenjuan, a Lao translator who graduated from Yunnan University of Nationalities, said graduates majoring in ASEAN languages were in great demand in Yunnan Province.

"All the 24 students majoring in Lao found good jobs before graduating last year," said Tao. "They are now working in government bodies, big companies and translation companies."

A 20-year-old Lao student who is named Wang Zhan in Chinese and is learning the language in a vocational high school in Yunnan was encouraged by growing China-ASEAN relations.

"I want to go to college in China because it is easy to find a job in Laos if you can speak Chinese. I also wish to be a Lao translator in Yunnan," he said.
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Myanmar to construct artificial beach in northern state
www.chinaview.cn 2010-01-07 13:22:26


YANGON, Jan. 7 (Xinhua) -- A private company -- Myanmar Nwe Winis making feasibility study on building an artificial beach in the country's northernmost Kachin state this year in cooperation with international enterprises, sources with the Myanmar company said on Thursday.

The project, which is first of its kind in the country, will involve investment by the New Zealand Trades Enterprise Limited (NZTE) and other business enterprises from Japan, Australia and China, the sources said.

The planned artificial beach project, which lies near the bank of Ayeyawaddy river, stands a short distance to the Lido highway road connecting India, Myanmar and China, it said,

There has been some famous natural beaches in the country, namely Chuang Tha and Ngwe Saung beaches in southwestern Ayeyawaddy division and Ngapali beach in western Rakhine State, attracting a large number of local and foreign visitors.

Meanwhile, all hotels in Ngwe Saung was reopened in October last year after being closed for non-tourism season when few visitors came.

To facilitate transport, an airport is being planned in Ngwe Saung which is 46 kilometers from Pathein, capital city of the division.

On completion of the airport project, a three-hour drive from Yangon to reach Ngwe Saung will be replaced by minutes' flight and the Ngwe Saung beach resort will become the second which is accessible by air after Ngapali.
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Pacific Citizen - Planting Seeds of Change For Myanmar
Activists worldwide are using new technology and social networking sites to spread the word about the need for political change in Myanmar.
By Nalea J. Ko, Reporter
Published January 6, 2010

Activists in Sydney, Australia hope a project to plant sunflowers worldwide will help nurture an open dialogue about the injustices in Myanmar.

The founders of the nonprofit project “Sunflower For Suu” started planting sunflower seeds in late 2009 in community gardens, parks, near highways and in train yards. Bright sunflower beds scattered across Sydney soon captured the attention of the local media.

Creators of the project are now using social networking sites to raise awareness worldwide about the repression endured by the people of Myanmar, also known as Burma. In the project’s infancy the Web site had about four hits a day, but with the help of sites like MySpace and Facebook it now draws more than 1,000 daily hits, said the project founders.

“We want by next year’s summer, to have as many houses and parks display sunflowers on mass, so people take notice,” explained co-founder Dave Hibbard, who said he has received reports of Canadians and New Zealanders also participating in the program. “Somebody will ask someone else, ‘What is with all these sunflowers this year?’ And we hope the response will be: ‘They are supporting Aung San Suu Kyi and Burma.’”

Nobel Peace Prize winner Aung San Suu Kyi is the leader of the pro-democracy movement, the National League for Democracy (NLD). Suu Kyi has been under house arrest for about 14 years.

The military junta the State Peace and Development Council has controlled Myanmar for about 20 years. Under its rule social policies in Myanmar have suffered, among other things.

Health care in Myanmar is rated the “second worst” in the world, according to the U.S. Campaign For Burma, a Washington, D.C.-based non-profit dedicated to bringing an end to the military dictatorship in Myanmar. About 30 to 50 percent of the government’s budget is spent on the military while about 2.2 percent is dedicated to health care.

Activists in the United States are utilizing Web sites like Facebook and Twitter to spread the word about the military-controlled country.

“We have used social networking sites to educate American citizens about the situation in Burma and organize their support,” wrote Aung Din, executive director of the U.S. Campaign For Burma, in an e-mail to the Pacific Citizen.

“These sites are quite helpful and productive, and with these technologies, we can raise awareness on Burma more than before.”

Myanmar in 2010

In 1962, Gen. Ne Win staged a government coup and assumed control of Myanmar and its people. He was later forced to vacate his seat in 1988. That year, dissidents protested against the junta’s control, which spurred the military to open fire and imprison protestors. Thousands were killed and sent to prison, according to estimations. Those that have been imprisoned in Myanmar are still haunted by the experience.

“Prisons in Burma are the closest ones to the hell. I was tortured physically and psychologically in prisons.” Din added, “Most of my time in prison was in solitary confinement. Those days haunt me to this day, and I always wake up in the middle of night, having nightmares and hearing cries from the torture chambers.”

Din said over 2,200 dissidents, including Buddhist monks, remain imprisoned because of their political views. He was a part of the 1988 uprising, as the vice chairman of the All Burma Federation of Student Unions. Amnesty International called for his release in 1989.

A year later seemed to bring promise when Suu Kyi’s party won 82 percent of the seats in parliament. However the junta did not recognize the results. Suu Kyi remains under house arrest.

These incidents should be brought to the attention of everyone across the world, said advocates.

“I had traveled to Burma three times in the last few years and every time I come back to Australia I feel compelled to make people aware that there is a country … in deep suffering and repression,” Hibbard said. “A lot of people know or have heard of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, but surprisingly there is so many people who don't.”

To ensure that Suu Kyi becomes a husehold name, Hibbard, who is also a musician in the band the “Badloves,” has planted about 440 pounds of sunflower seed in the last six months. He has also dispersed about 1,000 envelopes in Australia with seeds and a note describing the project.

“Music was once upon a time my no.1 passion. But in the last few years it has taken second seat to Burma,” Hibbard said.

A Blossoming Democracy?

A meeting in November 2009 with Suu Kyi and Assistant Secretary of State Kurt Campbell seemed to signal strengthening relations between the U.S. and Myanmar. But some activists said a dialogue between those within Myanmar is still needed before a more significant change is seen.

“The most important thing for a positive change in Burma is a meaningful dialogue between Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and Senior General Than Shwe, the regime's paramount leader,” Din said.

The year 2010, he said, is crucial for the people of Burma because the military will try to maintain its regime with a “sham constitution and showcase election.”

“However, the regime will not be able to hold the election, as it promised, as long as it can't settle the demands made by ethnic ceasefire groups and it can't persuade the NLD to participate in the election,” Din explained.

With each blooming sunflower comes a renewed sense of hope for change in Myanmar.

“It was really exciting. To see the first sunflower reminded me that from little things big things grow and that what we had been thinking about for so long was starting to become a reality,” Ben Roche said.

“Change is like that, we need to plant the seeds of an idea and stay focused on the kind of future we want to grow and then eventually it will start to materialize.”
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Narinjara News - Sittwe Monks Denied Religious Titles by Authorities
1/7/2010

Sittwe: Prominent monks from Sittwe, the capital of Arakan State, have not had any religious titles conferred upon them by the Burmese military authority in 2010, said one abbot from Sittwe.

"In Sittwe, there are many prominent and senior monks but none can be conferred religious titles this year by the military authority due to the involvement of monks in Sittwe in the movement against the military government in 2007," the abbot said.

The Burmese military government issued Notification No. 1/2010 to confer religious titles on prominent monks inside and outside of the country on the occasion of the 62nd anniversary of Burma's independence.

Many religious titles, including Ganthadhura Pariyatti Lecturer Sayadaws, Vipassana Dhura Patipatti Kammathana cariya Instructor Sayadaws, and Roving Dhamma Preachers were conferred to monks, but no one from Sittwe was included on the list.

"Five monks from Arakan State have been conferred religious titles this year, but no monks from Sittwe. Even though the military government conferred the religious titles to the monks in Arakan State, they are just lower level titles, not upper level," the monk said.

Among the monks conferred titles are two monks from Maungdaw and Minbya who received the title Maha Thatdama Zawdiga for their missionary work in the frontier areas, but these monks are close to the military authority.

A monk from Maungdaw said, "The title conferred by the military government to the monks is not related to the Buddhist religion, it is related to politics. Those who are working and supporting the military government can get titles easily from the government. The monk from Maungdaw received the title as he was working for the government."

The government authority has neglected to confer the highest religious title on any monks from Sittwe since 2007, when the Saffron Revolution protests took place in Burma.

In Sittwe, there are over 300 monasteries and at least one monk from each monastery participated in the protests in 2007. Moreover, monks from Sittwe continued to attempt to stage demonstrations against the military government after the Saffron Revolution protests were stopped.
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The Irrawaddy - Regime Privatizing to Retain Control of Resources
By WAI MOE - Thursday, January 7, 2010


As Burma gears up for elections to be held sometime later this year, the country's military junta is moving ahead with plans to transfer ownership of key industries to business firms closely associated with the ruling generals.

On Wednesday, state-run newspapers reported that the No. 2 Mining Enterprise, operating under the Ministry of Mines, signed a contract with the privately owned DELCO Co Ltd on apportionment of tin and tungsten quotas at the Kanpauk Mine in southern Burma.

Although little is known about the ownership of DELCO, the company is on the UK’s financial sanctions list, along with 1,225 other businesses run by senior military officials or their cronies. It is also one of four private firms that recently received a Build-Operate-Transfer agreement for hydro-power projects in Burma.

Some analysts have suggested that the junta has begun to privatize energy generation as a way to address the country's electricity shortages. Despite abundant energy resources, domestic power consumption lags far behind neighboring countries due to a lack of infrastructure and decades of economic mismanagement.

Increasing access to electricity is key to Burma's economic development. At present, however, households in Rangoon and Mandalay receive just six hours of electricity per day, while factories have power 12 hours a day. People and businesses in other areas generally rely on their own diesel-powered generators to meet their electricity needs.

On Dec. 31, the state-owned newspaper Myanma Ahlin reported that the regime had awarded a major contract for construction of two hydro-power plants to a company owned by Tay Za, Burma's richest businessman and a close associate of Snr-Gen Than Shwe, head of the ruling regime.

On the same day, the official English-language mouthpiece, The New Light of Myanmar, trumpeted the junta's far-sighted energy plans: “With the aims of increasing the supply of more electricity and contributing to building the industrialized nation, the Ministry of Electric Power No. 1 had adopted the 30-year long-term electricity development strategic plan and is implementing the hydro-power projects in line with the five-year short-term plans.”

However, some observers say they suspect that the recent effort to increase the country's energy capacity has more to do with the junta's short-term goal of ensuring victory in this year's election.

“People are fed up with the electricity shortage. They can't even get enough tap water because of the lack of electricity. If the military government can solve this problem, people would appreciate it,” said a Rangoon-based journalist who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Privatization of Burma's energy resources will also help to ensure that the current elite is able to retain control of a key sector of the economy after the election, when, under the new Constitution, elected local governments will be allowed to manage and distribute electricity from small- and medium-sized power plants.

By transferring ownership of these plants to companies run by leading military figures or others closely connected with them, “the generals will make sure that state firms are firmly in their grip before the election and transition,” according to a Rangoon-based businessman.

The 2008 Constitution contains similar provisions granting states and divisions the right to manage their mining and forestry resources. However, since 2006, a growing number of state-run enterprises in these two sectors have been handed over to private businesses.

According to official statistics, 380 small gold mines have been partly or totally privatized in recent years, while more than 500 ruby and jade mines in Shan State, Kachin State, Sagaing Division and Mandalay Division, including the well-known Mogok and Mongshu mines, have come under private ownership.

“Generally speaking, releasing the state’s grip on business is good for the market economy and a part of Burma's economic liberalization.

But the problem is that everything is going into the hands of military enterprises and cronies of the generals,” said a Burmese economic researcher in Rangoon who asked to remain anonymous.

By retaining control over major enterprises in the post-election period, the generals will also be able to exercise a huge influence over their political successors, he added.

“For example, if the companies of the generals and their associates can manipulate the electrical power sector, it will give them a stranglehold over future governments,” he said.

With the generals running everything from airlines and media companies to mines and hydro-power plants, many Burmese observers are skeptical about the regime's claims that it is liberalizing the economy. They also point to a lack of transparency as a further impediment to any improvement in the country's long-term economic prospects.

“There is no systematic law regulating privatization. In every case, the generals have simply issued orders granting ownership to a junta crony,” said Aung Thu Nyein, a Burmese economic researcher based in Thailand.

This has invited comparisons to the situation in Russia, where post-Soviet privatization 20 years ago concentrated the country's wealth in the hands of a few dozen well-connected oligarchs.

“Privatization in Burma? Who is getting these companies? We must learn from the lessons of Russia,” said a well-known economist in Rangoon.
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The Irrawaddy - Looking for an Election in Burma's Political Fog
By BA KAUNG - Thursday, January 7, 2010


Burmese military supremo Than Shwe's reaffirmation in an Independence Day speech on Monday of his plan to hold a general election this year failed to clear away any of the political fog that has shrouded Burma for months past.

Beneath the surface gloom, however, the dynamics among different political camps inside the country is in motion, even if it is only barely palpable.

While elections seem inevitable this year, many opposition groups still view them as a regime maneuver to further entrench military rule.

“If no change takes place before the election, the miseries of the country will continue for the next 20 or 30 years,” said Win Tin, the outspoken leader of the opposition National League for Democracy (NLD).

This week, other NLD officials reiterated their commitment to the 2009 Shwegondaing declaration as a prerequisite for the election. The declaration calls for a review of the controversial 2008 Constitution, political dialogue and the unconditional release of all political prisoners, including the party leader, Aung San Suu Kyi.

On Monday's Independence Day, thousands of families waited in vain for a possible prisoner release. Not one was freed.

Echoing the NLD's political stand, ethnic leaders are also stressing the importance of political dialogue aimed at national reconciliation prior to the election.

“If the election is unilaterally held without national unity, then the future of the country will remain bleak,” said Aye Thar Aung, an Arakanese leader who is secretary of the opposition umbrella group, the Committee Representing People’s Parliament.

In the absence of electoral laws and an election time frame, Than Shwe's declaration that “the entire population has to make the correct choice” rings hollow, even for some political groups who have announced their willingness to participate in the election.

“Anyone expecting to contest the election is not allowed to do anything yet,” said Thu Wai, a veteran politician and leader of the Democratic Party, who last year announced his intention to participate.

Formed a few months ago without any registration, his party has the support of three daughters of past political leaders of Burma: Mya Than Than Nu, the daughter of Burma's first prime minister, U Nu; Nay Yee Ba Swe, whose father was the late Prime Minister Ba Swe; and Cho Cho Kyaw Nyein, the daughter of late Deputy Prime Minister Kyaw Nyein.

After the 1988 uprising, Thu Wai served as the chairman of the Democracy Party, which was later abolished, and in the mid-1990s he was jailed for his political activities.

Thu Wai's Democratic Party is one of the few political groups in Burma that believe that calling for political dialogue with the regime is a pure waste of time.

“If discussions are possible, it is good. But if they are not possible, why should we be wasting time?” Thu Wai said. “Only in a legal parliament can we secure the right to criticize what we don't like and to engage in politics.”

Despite tight restrictions on political movements, a few other individuals have been treated with tolerance by the military regime.

An opponent of economic sanctions, Aye Lwin, a 46-year-old former political prisoner, started his own political group in 2005, together with his two younger brothers, who also served jail terms for their views.

Diminutive and uncharismatic, Aye Lwin opened his office in the compound of Cho Cho Kyaw Nyein in Rangoon in 2005. He now claims to be carrying out nationwide campaigns with a membership of 4,000 organizers, calling for an end to economic sanctions and a smooth transition toward civilian rule. Political dissidents inside Burma regard Aye Lwin as a close political partner of Cho Cho Kyaw Nyein.

Asked why he is treated with favor by the regime, Aye Lwin said he enjoyed his special position because he avoids criticism of the country's negative aspects.
Aye Lwin said he wants the election to take place as planned this year, but shrugs off as unrealistic the demands by other opposition groups for political dialogue and the release of the more than 2,000 political prisoners.

Aye Lwin is known to be widely disliked among detained 88 Generation students and young activists alike, some of whom accuse him of having a cozy relationship with high-level military officials and enjoying their substantial financial support—allegations that Aye Lwin denied in a telephone interview with The Irrawaddy.

He does, however, admit having close contact with regime officials. After a meeting with Maj-Gen Aung Thein Lin, mayor of Rangoon, three months ago, Aye Lwin said he was warned to conduct his political campaigns in a controlled way because his group is not a registered organization.

Aung Thein Lin pointed out that other, registered organizations were not allowed to campaign politically.

The exile media last month reported that his group had been attacked in Rangoon with stones and bamboo sticks by 200 members of the military-backed Union Solidarity Development Organization (USDA). Some activists inside Burma suggest that Aye Lwin had staged the attack, with the connivance of local authorities, in a ploy to win a better public image.

One of Aye Lwin's brothers claimed, however, that the clashes had occurred after “local authorities misunderstood us.”

Another former political prisoner, Phyo Min Thein, whose views differ from those of the mainstream political opposition, recently met with a military officer sent by Lt-Gen Ye Myint, Chief of Military Affairs Security, and he received permission to hold a pre-election political forum with a number of different political parties.

“The government seems interested in topics related to elections,” said Phyo Min Thein. “We don't take the line of confrontation, but that of negotiation.”

Both Phyo Min Thein and Aye Lwin took part as students in the 1988 anti-government demonstrations. Many of their 88 Generation political colleagues, including Min Ko Naing and Ko Ko Gyi, are now serving long sentences in remote prisons throughout Burma.

An editor of a magazine in Rangoon said “old grievances” between the 1988 students had led to differing political approaches. Phyo Min Thein admits having had a disagreement with Ko Ko Gyi in the early 1990s over reforming a student union.

Pyo Min Thein said he invited many ethnic and NLD leaders, including Win Tin and Khin Maung Swe, to his political forum. More than 50 political activists have promised to join the forum, he said.

Others within the NLD are not expected to join, however.

“I said I don't condemn his idea of a political forum,” said NLD spokesman Khin Maung Swe. “But I told him we are still committed to our demands of political dialogue.”

As the first week of 2010 comes to an end, the political and economic uncertainties in Burma remain unchanged. “The blind are groping in darkness,” is how Khin Maung Swe described the political scene in Rangoon.
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ILO to be ‘more proactive, not reactive’ in Burma

Jan 7, 2010 (DVB)–The International Labour Organisation is looking to change its approach to dealing with issues of child soldiers and forced labour in Burma, with a top-level ILO official to visit the country next week.

The Burmese army has been accused by rights groups of being one of the world’s leading recruiters of child soldiers, deemed illegal under both international law and Burmese domestic law.

According to Steve Marshall, ILO liaison officer in Rangoon, the UN body continues to receive complaints of child soldier recruitment, despite holding a ‘Supplementary Understanding’ with the Burmese junta to stop use of underage soldiers.

Last year the ILO received 83 complaints of child soldier recruitment, Marshall said, while 46 children had been officially discharged by the army. The total number of complaints received by the organization since it began its complaints mechanism in February 2007 stands at more than 120.

The ILO deputy director general is due to visit Burma next week “with a view to signing a 12-month extension of the supplementary understanding,” Marshall said, adding that he will meet with the government’s Committee for the Prevention of Underage Recruitment.

He also said that the ILO is looking to work with the Burmese government “to get a joint action plan which would allow a more positive, proactive approach to the problem [of child soldiers and forced labour], rather than the current reactive approach”.

A grassroots legal advocacy group, Guiding Star, said last month that use of child soldiers in Burma was increasing after incentives were offered to troops to boost battalion numbers. The military-ruled country already has one of the highest troop-civilian ratios in the world.

Another domestic group tackling child soldier recruitment in Burma, the Human Rights Defenders and Promoters network (HRDP), told DVB yesterday that two 16-year-old males were abducted by an army sergeant last month in Irrawaddy division’s Bogalay township and sent to a military centre in Rangoon.

The incident was reported to the ILO yesterday, Maung Maung Lay of the HRDP said, adding that the group assisted in a total of 46 child soldier cases in 2009, and managed to return home around 20 children.

“There is a greater chance of bringing a kid back home quickly while he’s still in a recruitment centre but once the kid is posted in active duty in the army then it becomes more difficult,” he said.

Reporting by Naw Say Phaw
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Women selling hair ‘to restore livelihoods’

Jan 7, 2010 (DVB)–Trade in women’s hair in Burma has boomed in the last five years as people look for a new way to make ends meet, particularly in the wake of the devastation wrought by cyclone Nargis.

One healthy head of women’s hair could sell for up to $US35, a bonanza in a country where the average wage is less than $US20 per month, a Burmese hair trader told Reuters.

The boom has been fuelled by growing demand for wigs in China and South Korea, and the hair market has blossomed into a lucrative business for some Burmese traders, buoyed by rising prices.

One woman, Yu Yu, said that she was able to pay for her father’s medical treatment and could now send her brother to school after selling her hair.

"At first, I just felt so sad about losing my hair. But later, I was really happy that I was able to save my father's life and solve my family's extreme financial problems," she said.

Other traders say that the market grew in the wake of cyclone Nargis in May 2008, which struck the Irrawaddy delta, killing 140,000 and leaving 2.4 million homeless.

Economic recovery has been slow, with thousands of hectares of farmland still polluted by the salt water and adequate housing still denied to nearly 800,000 cyclone victims.

Wild financial mismanagement since the military took power in 1962 has transformed Burma from one of Southeast Asia’s more prosperous countries into one of the world’s poorest states, with an inflation rate of around 30 percent.

Although the junta spends lucratively on infrastructural development, particularly hydropower and gas projects, the vast majority of the product is sold abroad, leaving nearly one-third of Burma’s population below the poverty line.

The country however has a substantial informal sector that provides a crutch for the majority of the population, and which has been comparatively unharmed by the impact that decades of western sanctions have had on the official economy.

Between two and three million Burmese migrants are thought to be working in Thailand, while many more have fled low employment prospects in the country to find work in Malaysia, Singapore and southern China.

Reporting by Francis Wade
Myanmar video journalist jailed for 20 years: report
Wed Jan 6, 2:05 am ET


BANGKOK (AFP) – A Myanmar court has handed down a 20-year jail term to a video journalist who worked with exiled media, rights groups said Wednesday, as the ruling junta continues its crackdown on dissent.

Freelance reporter Hla Hla Win, 25, was arrested in September after visiting a Buddhist monastery in the the town of Pakokku, Paris-based Reporters Without Borders and the Burma Media Association said in a joint statement.

Hla Hla Win was sentenced by a court in Pakokku on December 31 for an alleged violation of the country's Electronics Act, the groups said. A woman accompanying her was sentenced to 26 years in jail, they added.

There was no immediate confirmation of the sentence from authorities in Myanmar, formerly known as Burma, which remains under tight US and EU sanctions because of its record on human rights.

"We are outraged that this young woman has been given a 20-year jail term," the two organisations said in the statement.

The jailed reporter had worked with the Myanmar exile broadcaster "Democratic Voice of Burma" based in Norway, which described the sentence as "unjust", the statement said.

"People had been expecting signs of an opening and goodwill gestures from the military junta in this election year, but this extremely severe sentence on a 25-year-old video maker and the junta chief?s recent threatening comments leave little hope that the elections will be free," they said.

Reclusive junta leader Than Shwe said at an independence day ceremony on Monday that plans were underway for elections promised by the regime some time this year, but warned citizens to make "correct choices" at the polls.

Myanmar has handed heavy jail terms to scores of activists, monks, student leaders and journalists for their alleged roles in anti-junta protests in 2007 last year and for helping victims of Cyclone Nargis in May.

Pro-democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi has been detained for most of the last two decades and had her house arrest extended in August last year, effectively ruling her out of the coming elections.

The United States expressed doubt Monday that the polls would be credible.
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Integrated Regional Information Networks
MYANMAR: The kindest cut

YANGON, 6 January 2010 (IRIN) - Yu Yu, 19, valued her thick, wavy hair for its beauty but today it is a source of much-needed income for her destitute family.

"At first, I just felt so sad about losing my hair. But later, I was really happy that I was able to save my father's life and solve my family's extreme financial problems," said Yu Yu, now a garment factory worker.

Two years ago, her father fell seriously ill, while her four-member family, whose combined monthly income was US$45, was debt-ridden. With no other way to help them, the high-school drop-out sold her waist-length locks for $30.

Later this year, she will sell her shoulder-length hair to pay for her younger brother’s school fees.

Long hair is highly valued in Burmese society, celebrated in literature and songs. But now women are being forced to part with it as a last resort.

In Myanmar, where one-third of the population of 57.6 million lives below the poverty line according to the UN, hair traders say selling hair has become a way of making ends meet.

Households face rising living costs and are vulnerable to food insecurity; 69 percent of all household expenditure is spent on food, according to a 2007 UN Development Programme (UNDP) household living conditions survey.

Booming business

Hair traders say business has boomed in the past five years, thanks to growing demand from China and South Korea for wigs.

“The price of hair has been quite attractive in recent years. This encourages more and more women to sell their hair,” said Ya Min, 29, a trader for the past nine years.

Hair is weighed by the kyat tha (16.33g) and priced according to length and weight. The average weight of hair per woman is about 20 kyat tha.

Traders say one kyat tha of hair was worth about $0.80 five years ago. While exchange rates fluctuate, traders say prices have nevertheless been rising in recent years.

These days, hair typically sells for $1 per kyat tha, but if it is over 30cm in length, it can fetch more than $1.50. A woman selling 20 kyat tha of hair that is as long as 40cm could earn $35.

Because of this lucrative trade, buyers and sellers alike say those with long hair have to beware of hair thieves while commuting in crowded buses.

Desperate measures

Mindful of the difference even tiny sums of money can make, hair buyers say they sometimes find it difficult to turn hopeful sellers away.

“There are many poor old women like her who come and sell their damaged, excess hair for a small amount of money,” said a hair-buyer, Ma Mya Mya, after buying a small bag of grey hair from a barefoot, elderly woman.

Ma Mya Mya initially offered the woman about $0.30 but she insisted on more, saying she needed to buy some rice for dinner. The elderly woman finally walked away satisfied with $0.50 – enough to buy about 1kg of rice.

“Actually, we don’t want to buy hair like this. But sometimes we can’t refuse, because they are so poor,” she said.

Paying for school fees

Traders say their business is better from June, the start of the school year.

“Around June, many mothers come and sell their hair so they can get school fees for their children,” said Ya Min.

June also marks the start of the rainy season, bringing floods and cutting off roads, forcing families to look for alternative sources of income, traders say.

Lured by the potential income, more people, especially women, are joining the hair-trading business. Despite poor transportation, petty traders make the journey from urban centres to remote, hard-to-access areas to buy hair, which is then resold to larger traders in cities such as Yangon and Mandalay.

Some hair traders also say they are getting an increasing supply of hair from the Ayeyarwady Delta in the country’s south in the wake of Cyclone Nargis in May 2008 as people seek to restore their livelihoods.
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Dhaka, Yangon to talk sea limits
Wed, Jan 6th, 2010 8:55 pm BdST


Dhaka, Jan 06 (bdnews24com)—Bangladesh and Myanmar officials will sit on Friday for two-day talks on maritime boundary demarcation.

This is first such meeting since Bangladesh in October last year turned to the UN tribunal for resolving the dispute over water territory in the Bay of Bengal with Myanmar and India.

Myanmar deputy foreign minister (foreign secretary) Maung Myint will lead his country's delegation while additional foreign secretary Md Khurshed Alam will head Bangladesh side at the talks in Chittagong.

"The bilateral negotiation with our neighbours will continue though we have gone to the UN tribunal for settling the maritime disputes," a senior foreign ministry official told bdnews24.com.

He said Myanmar now shows "very positive" attitude to resolve the maritime disputes with Bangladesh.

Foreign ministry officials say Bangladesh, India and Myanmar cannot exploit the full benefits of their oil and gas reserves in the Bay due to claim and counter-claim of the offshore blocks.

Out of Bangladesh's total 27, Myanmar and India have made overlapping claims over at least 18 offshore blocks in the complicated maritime geography.

Indian and Myanmar claim, what foreign minister termed as "aggressive", that those would make block Bangladesh's sea zone.

Bangladesh and Myanmar resumed talks on maritime boundary demarcation in 2008 after a pause of 22 years. The two countries had at least three rounds of talks on the issue since then and the talks yielded no tangible result.

The two countries could not even agree on determining the starting point of the boundary demarcation.

On Oct 8 last year, Bangladesh appealed to the UN tribunal for arbitration to end the maritime boundary disputes with Myanmar and India.

Foreign minister Dipu Moni on Oct 8 said the government approached to the UN tribunal to end the disputes as soon as possible.

She said the disputes would be resolved at the tribunal in maximum four years if Bangladesh could not bury the disputes through bilateral talks.
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IDSA - Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses COMMENT
Dynamics of Indo-Myanmar Economic Ties
Saurabh
January 6, 2010


India and Myanmar are bound by a 1600-kilometer land frontier, a long maritime boundary and also by religious, cultural and ethnic ties, which go back two millennia. India's four states Mizoram, Manipur, Nagaland and Arunachal Pradesh share India’s international border with Myanmar. This geographical proximity between the two countries translated into long-standing trade relations across land borders and the sea route.

India's Vice President Mr. Hamid Ansari Visited Myanmar last year and observed that the economic engagement between India and Myanmar promises immense potential. He also emphasized the importance of enhancing interaction between India’s North Eastern states and Myanmar which occupy a central place in India's Look East Policy. Myanmar is India's gateway to ASEAN as it is the only ASEAN country which has land and maritime borders with India. India and the ASEAN signed a Free Trade Agreement in August 2009 which will cover 11 countries, including Myanmar, with a combined Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of over $2 trillion. ASEAN Regional Forum, India-ASEAN Summits, East Asia Summit, BIMSTEC and Mekong-Ganga Cooperation provide further avenues for mutual cooperation between the two countries.

The economic engagement between India and Myanmar has expanded into the public and private sectors. The first India-Myanmar Bilateral Border Trade Agreement was signed in New Delhi in January 1994 and was implemented in April 1995 with the opening of a cross border point between Moreh, India and Tamu, Myanmar. The agreement provides facilities by which trade is being carried out through the designated border expansion of the list of exchangeable items. The opening of border posts has also helped in checking illegal trade of goods and monitors the activities of insurgent groups between India and Myanmar.

The year 2003 witnessed events which not only cemented existing bilateral ties, but also provided a foundation on which commercial and economic could expand in the future. A joint Trade Committee was set up to work towards increasing bilateral trade, a Memorandum of Understanding was signed on cooperation in information and communication technology, a new Line of Credit for 25 million US dollars was signed to boost exports, and in November 2003 the offer of a 57 million US dollars million credit line was announced by India in order to upgrade Myanmar's railway network.

India is one of Myanmar's major trading partners and one of the largest markets for its goods. The most startling fact is that bilateral trade between India and Myanmar has grown more than eighty times in the last twenty eight years. From US$12.4 million in 1980-81, India-Myanmar trade grew steadily, to reach a level of 995 million US dollars in 2007-08. The actual trade turnover may probably be more if trade via third countries, particularly Singapore, is taken into account.

India's exports to Myanmar, though small, range from primary commodities to manufactured products. Primary and semi-finished steel along with steel bars and rods constitute over one third of India's exports. Indian drugs and pharmaceuticals have also established a significant market presence. India's exports to Myanmar's in 1990-00 and 2007-08 were 72.16 million dollars and 162.98 million respectively.

India's imports from Myanmar between 1990-00 and 2007-08 stood at 215.35 million dollars and 809.94 million dollars respectively. The balance of trade is heavily in favour of Myanmar. Myanmar contributes to nearly one fifth of India's imports of timber, second only to Malaysia, as timber and wood products accounted for nearly 30% of Myanmar's exports to India. Myanmar is the second largest supplier of beans and pulses to India, next only to Australia.

Developmental projects have become essential elements of India's approach towards building good neighbourly relations and fostering mutually beneficial cooperation.

Kaladan multi-modal project in Myanmar promises to be the cornerstone in India's efforts to develop infrastructure projects for cross-border benefits in the region. India is assisting the India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway project and has also extended project specific credit lines for upgrading the Yangon-Mandalay Trunk line and for the optical fibre link between Moreh and Mandalay.

Several positive developments have taken place recently in the areas of trade, investment, power, oil and natural gas, manufacturing and the vocational training sectors. In 2008, India and Myanmar signed four economic cooperation agreements which include the Bilateral Investment Promotion Agreement, two credit line agreements between the EXIM Bank of India and the Myanmar Foreign Trade Bank for 20 million dollars for financing the establishment of wire manufacturing plant, 64 million dollars for financing three 230kv transmission lines in Myanmar and the last agreement provides a banking link between Myanmar Economic Bank and United Bank of India. New vistas of cooperation in IT, automobiles, textiles, river and land-based transportation system were also explored.

India-Myanmar trade has immense potential for cooperation in the field of natural gas as Myanmar has reportedly one of the world’s biggest gas reserves estimated to be more than 90 trillion cubic feet. ONGC Videsh Limited and Gas Authority of India Limited hold a 30% stake in the exploration and production of gas in Myanmar's off shore blocks located in the Sittwe Area of Arakan State. India has evinced keen interest to procure gas from Myanmar. India however, still faces the problem of transporting gas from Myanmar. A technical consultant company was engaged by the Gas Authority of India to prepare a detailed feasibility report for the pipeline route to Myanmar. The company has come up with the route that would link Myanmar's Sitwe Sea with Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline at Gaya in Bihar. Once the negotiations are over and the deal is finalized, the Eastern and North-Eastern states of India are expected to witness a massive spurt in economic activity, and the India-Myanmar bilateral relationship will definitely get stronger.

Clearly, there is immense scope for cooperation between India and Myanmar to deal in agro-based products, floriculture, engineering, timber and tobacco and expand business cooperation. Although there has been a significant increase in bilateral trade in recent years, full potential has yet to be realised.
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ABC Radio Australia News - Australian Greens calls for stop in radio equipment exports to Burma
Last Updated: Wed, 6 Jan 2010 12:08:00 +1100


The Australian Green Party has accused a Western Australian company of selling high-frequency radio sets to the Burmese junta, which the Greens says assist the regime to oppress ethnic minorities.

Senator Scott Ludlam says radios sold by Barrett Communications are capable of frequency-hopping and encryption which makes radio traffic impossible to intercept.

He says this assists the Burmese military in its operations against ethnic minorities.

"People on the border are extremely concerned that the regime is switching to these encrypted radio traffic to be able to plan their offensive in the tribal areas...more effectively and more secretly."

Senator Ludlam says the exports must be stopped.

"We don't believe there should be two way trade between Australia and Burma at all...but there certainly shouldn't be two way trade in sensitive military equipment such as this."

"The Burmese regime is a criminal regime, it's entirely illegitimate and it is very inappropriate for Australian companies to be doing business with that regime," he said.

But Barrett Communications Managing Director Phil Bradshaw told Radio Australia the radios he exports to Burma are not capable of encryption.
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Jan 7, 2010
Asia Times Online - China-ASEAN pact offers more than win-win

By Brantly Womack

The formal inauguration of the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) on January 1 marks the culmination of arguably the most successful big-power diplomacy of the post-Cold War era.

Since 1991, China's relations with Southeast Asia have moved from an alliance of convenience with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) against Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos to close and multi-dimensional interaction with an expanded 10-member ASEAN and with each of the association's member states (in addition to the above-mentioned trio, the group now includes Myanmar alongside founding members Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand).

A similar pattern of China's successful engagement with neighbors can be seen in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization with Russia and Central Asia and, less successfully, in the six-party talks in northeast Asia over North Korea's nuclear program. With the exception of China's trans-Himalayan border, promotion of regional multilateral institutions has progressed hand-in-hand with strengthening bilateral relationships.

The formula for China's successful good neighbor policy has many labels, but the simplest is "win-win". Every country in Southeast Asia has benefited from broader and deeper relations with China, and ASEAN as a regional organization has been strengthened by China's involvement.

Trade, investment and tourism have blossomed. China's willingness to sign the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation in 2002 and the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in 2003 encouraged other nations to follow suit. Despite global economic uncertainty displacing US-centered globalization, China and ASEAN are off on the right foot in a new era. But the path ahead is not simply a yellow brick road of win-win policies.

Why not? What could possibly be wrong with win-win? A cynical power theorist would say that if one side wins more than the other, the one who wins less may end up being dominated by the one who wins more. But this hardly applies to Southeast Asia. No individual state in Southeast Asia has ever considered itself the equal of China. Moreover, China's military budget surpassed the aggregate military budgets of Southeast Asia in the 1990s. And ASEAN is no North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Rather than being a security umbrella for coordinating action in crisis situations, ASEAN is more of a consensual parasol that works best in sunny weather. If losing parity with China were the tipping point for subjugation, Southeast Asia lost long ago.

Win-win is too simple a formula precisely because of the disparities between China and Southeast Asia. Individually and collectively, Southeast Asian nations are more exposed in their relationship with China than vice versa. According to estimates of the Central Intelligence Agency in the United States, all of ASEAN together in 2008 had only one-third of China's gross domestic product (GDP) in terms of purchasing power parity (PPP). The economy of Shanghai is one-and-a-half times that of Singapore. Guangdong's GDP exceeds that of Indonesia, while the combined economies of Guangxi and Yunnan, middling provinces by Chinese standards, exceed those of their neighbors Vietnam, Laos and Myanmar.

Therefore, Southeast Asia is necessarily more alert to the risks as well as the opportunities of its relationship to China. Proportionally, it has more at stake, and the sense of risk as well as opportunity is all the more vivid to individual states in Southeast Asia.

Southeast Asia's dilemmas in dealing with China can be illustrated by the recent controversy in Vietnam over Chinese investments in bauxite mining and processing. It is certainly a win-win situation. The Chinese company involved, Chinalco, is a major global investor in bauxite mining and alumina processing. Bauxite occurs in limestone areas with poor agricultural prospects. Vietnam has the world's third-largest bauxite reserves, and hopes to attract US$15 billion in investment in this area by 2025. It needs the investment in the current global economic climate, and it also needs to offset its severe balance of payments deficit with China.

But the Vietnamese people have been very concerned about Chinese bauxite development. They are concerned about the ecological effects of mining; about the major stake that a powerful Chinese company would have in central Vietnam; and about losing jobs to imported Chinese workers. They do not want to have the future of a major national resource in the hands of an outside power. Win-win is not enough. Vietnam wants reassurance about its long-term interests because it is dealing with a much larger neighbor.
Similarly, the proposal of two corridors, rail and highway, from Nanning, the capital of the coastal Guangxi autonomous region, bordering Vietnam, to Singapore would undoubtedly benefit Vietnam. The corridors would run most of the length of Vietnam, thereby improving domestic transportation as well as connections to China and to the rest of mainland Southeast Asia. However, given current patterns of trade, far more goods will be coming down the corridors from China than going up from Vietnam, and much of Vietnam's exports would continue to be raw materials and resources.

This is still win-win for China's producers and Vietnam's consumers, but consumers also need to produce, and Vietnam's economy must continue to modernize and become more sophisticated. It is therefore hardly a surprise that on such win-win projects China pushes forward while Vietnam hesitates. A change at the periphery of China's economy could affect the heartland of Vietnam's.

Vietnam is the most sensitive country in Southeast Asia to China, but the entire region is aware that its interests and China's interests are not identical, even if many are compatible. The problem of asymmetric relationships cannot be solved, it can only be managed.

Take for example China's single most successful gesture in its regional relations. In 1997, China held the value of the yuan steady against the dollar while the Southeast Asian currencies were falling. Its neighbors were impressed that China could succeed where they failed, and they were grateful that China prevented a race to the bottom in currency devaluations.

Since August 2008, China has pursued exactly the same policy, but its effects on Southeast Asia are the opposite of a decade earlier. Now the yuan's peg to a declining US dollar is forcing neighbors to compress their currency values in order to maintain market share. China's neighbors wonder how long currency compression will last and what will happen when the yuan finally does revalue. There is little reassurance from China, and no claim that it is helping the neighborhood.

The tension between China and Southeast Asian states over conflicting claims in the South China Sea has become the symbol of the region's collective uneasiness concerning China's commitment to cooperation. The "Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea" signed in 2002 was a watershed event in regional confidence-building, but there has been little further progress.

Moreover, China's expansion of naval facilities on Hainan raises concerns throughout the region regarding China's military transparency and intentions. In fact, however, multilateral cooperation is the only feasible way for any country, China included, to profit from the disputed area. It would be difficult to extract oil at gunpoint, and the costs to China's regional and even global relations would outweigh any possible gains. The only winning path in the South China is one of more serious cooperation and reassurance.

While win-win is the slogan of the day, deeper principles have lain behind China's successes of the past two decades. China's willingness to work with multilateral regional institutions has been a big part of the winning formula. Participation in ASEAN's general relationship with China buffers the exposure of each individual state. This benefits China as well as ASEAN.

Vulnerability causes smaller states to hesitate in asymmetric relationships, while collective agreements reduce individual vulnerability. Within each bilateral relationship, sensitivity to the dilemmas faced by the smaller side even in a win-win situation is essential for continued development.

For example, not only does Vietnam have reason to expand its merchandise market in China, but China has an interest in Vietnam's marketing success. Currently, Vietnam's weak sales to China are a major trade bottleneck; a more balanced relationship would enable trade volume to expand on a solid basis.

Finally and most importantly, China's traditional respect for the sovereignty and autonomy of all states becomes ever more important with the growth of China's relative power. As Sophie Richardson's recent book on China-Cambodia relations demonstrates, the "Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence" have been an especially important foundation of China's relations with smaller states. [1] The time has come to multilateralize the five principles into a general respect for regional consensus and international agreements and institutions.

In the new era of global economic uncertainty, the risks that smaller countries face are more vivid than their opportunities. The special task faced by regional powers, whether China, or South Africa, or Brazil, or India, or Russia, is to earn regional leadership by reassuring neighbors that their interests and voices will be respected.

Moreover, they need to take the lead in regional projects that address common problems. But to do so effectively they must act in a spirit of multilateral respect. For the past two decades, China has led the cohort of regional powers in developing cooperative relationships with neighbors, and one of the fruits of success is the successful beginning of ACFTA. But it is only a successful beginning, it is not the end of the road.
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Bangkok Post - Opinion: Put scarce funds to good use in rail sector, new towns
Published: 6/01/2010 at 12:00 AM
Newspaper section: News

Burma recently announced that it will purchase 20 MiG-29 aircraft from Russia to add to the dozen its air force already has. Vietnam followed with the announcement that it will be buying a few submarines from the same source, presumably to counter the Chinese threat.

Normally, such announcements would trigger some sort of response from the Thai armed forces. This time, however, there has been no report of any immediate reaction from the Thai air force. The Thai navy, on the other hand, has said it would recommend that the government purchase 3-4 submarines at a cost of some 20 billion baht each, with one billion baht to be spent immediately on an old submarine for training purposes.

The different stances taken by the two branches of the Thai armed forces probably reflect the differences between their chiefs, with one being more deliberate and dovish than the other. Or perhaps, the air force chief knows better that the government is in no position to waste large sums of money on arms purchases while the economy remains in dire straits and the country is already in need of borrowing large sums from abroad.

Whatever the real reasons may be, there is no need for the government to go along with any recommendation for weapons purchases at this time.

Fundamentally, an arms purchase made in response to a similar action undertaken by a neighbouring country is tantamount to participating in an arms race, real or perceived. Such a race is not only futile but also contrary to making Asean a stronger regional bloc.

More importantly, there are much better uses for the scarce funds.

Besides being economically non-productive, such a purchase would be made abroad, which will not be helpful in stimulating the local economy which likely will be in need of further stimulation for a while longer. Furthermore, Thailand needs to make large investments urgently in basic infrastructure, particularly in rail transport and in new towns to relieve the congestion in Bangkok.

Thailand's transport infrastructure compares reasonably well with those of countries in a similar stage of economic development, except in the railway sub-sector. Government after government continues to be under the thumb of various interest groups and as a result has failed to make rail transport an effective component of the transportation sector. It is high time the government made a genuine commitment to address the issue and back it up with necessary funding.

Regarding building new towns, the idea has been discussed for many decades. So far only the Thaksin administration made a serious attempt to do something about it. It was regrettable that with an eye towards enriching the prime minister's relatives and cronies, that government's approach was seriously flawed. As a result, the momentum towards building such new towns has stalled.

Instead of trying to find a better approach, the present government has abandoned the idea altogether and has focused on sinking more funds into building a system of rapid transits, elevated highways and overpasses in and around Bangkok. This approach will be more and more wasteful, for it will not be able to keep up with the growth of the city, which continues to attract more people from other parts of the country, partly by the very investments aimed at alleviating congestion.

With the sea continuing to rise as a result of global warming, more parts of Bangkok will be flooded during storm surges and more expenditure will be needed to alleviate the problem of flooding.

There has been talk of trying to protect the city with a huge storm surge barrier similar to the Maeslantkering in the Netherlands. Construction of such a costly barrier will likely add more waste as its value remains doubtful during a particularly serious surge. All it may do would be to further line the pockets of influential politicians and their cronies.

Building new towns is a more viable alternative - and as it will take quite a while to accomplish, the time to start is now.

Sawai Boonma has worked for more than two decades as a development economist.
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Burmese government staff unhappy despite pay hike
Wednesday, 06 January 2010 21:45
Salai Han Thar San, Kyaw Thein Kha

Mizzima News – Essential and other commodity prices in Burma are rising after the military junta announced an increase in pay of government employees and daily wage earners.

A Ministry of Finance and Revenue staff member said that the monthly salary of all government staff will be increased by a flat Kyat 20,000 (estimated USD 20) each, according to the Ministry’s Notification No. 184/2009 dated 31 December 2009.

The notification says, ‘the salary of government employees is increased for the betterment of the livelihood of the staffs’.

A week after the pay hike announcement, 24 carat pure gold price rose by Kyat 10,000. Yesterday’s price was Kyat 615,000 per tical (approx. 16 gm).

A grocery store owner in Bogale told Mizzima, “Commodity prices rose especially after Independence Day on 4 January. Peanut edible oil price rose to Kyat 3,500 from Kyat 3,200 per viss (approx. 3.6 lbs or 1.64 Kg). Onion price rose to Kyat 750 from Kyat 650 per viss. Other provisions also increased by Kyat 100 to 200”.

Some government staff members are unhappy despite a pay rise as they are worried about rising prices of commodities.

An Insein hospital staff said, “I get just over Kyat 30,000 per month as salary. I cannot cope with the expenses for my family that too without kids at the current prices. I have to find extra sources of income to make both ends meet. I would be content with the current salary if commodity prices came down”.

Daily wage for those working at ministries and government organizations were also increased to Kyat 1,000 per day from Kyat 500 for an 8-hour workday. The new pay structure is only for basic pay and daily wages. The increments of respective pay scales are unchanged.

For military personnel, the procedure and regulation for prescribed pay scale, fringe benefits, pension and gratuity have to be presented to the Defence Council under the Ministry of Defence for final approval.

Government staff members working in foreign missions and on foreign soil have to draw their salary in foreign exchange on old pay scales. They will get the new pay scale only when they are back in Burma.

Ko Moe Zaw, a rice seller in Bogale township in Irrawaddy delta that was hard hit by cyclone Nargis in 2008, said “The price of rice rose this week. The earlier price was Kyat 16,500 per bag (approx. 50 Kgs) of Paw San Hmwe rice and the inferior quality rice was about Kyat 14,000 to 14,500 per bag. The current price of Paw San (good quality rice) is Kyat 18,000 per bag and the inferior quality rice is Kyat 15,000 to 16,500 per bag”.

The salary of government staff members were increased five times since the current military regime assumed power in 1988. Pay increases were made in 1989, 1993, 2000, 2006 and 2010. This is the fifth increase under this military regime.
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Gold Price Rise Blamed on Regime Members' Inflation Fears
By THE IRRAWADDY - Wednesday, January 6, 2010


An apparent rush by members of the Burmese junta and their families to buy gold is being named as the cause of a sudden rise in the price of the precious metal in Burma.

The gold price increase comes as reports circulate that civil servants are to be awarded a salary increase of 20,000 kyat (US$20) a month, and it's felt in some quarters that many junta members are investing in gold as a hedge against inflation.

Trade in gold was slack until Dec. 29, in line with trends on the international market. But at the end of the year and in the early days of 2010 gold shops reported a boom in business.

In that time, the gold price increased from 594,000 kyat ($594) a tical (16.4 grams) to 598,500 kyat ($598.5), peaking on Jan. 5 at 602,100 kyat ($602.1). On Wednesday, the price stood at 599,800 kyat ($599.8).

A Mandalay dealer said buyers were predominantly families of military and police personnel and civil servants.

A Rangoon dealer said one family had bought 3 vis (nearly 5 kilograms) of gold at his shop on Dec. 31.

Dealers close to the deputy chairman of the Myanmar [Burma] Gold Traders Association, Kyaw Myint, said the families of high rank officials knew early on that salaries were to be increased. “They are worried about inflation, so they buy gold in order to invest in the precious metal.”

Traditionally, the Burmese military regime has blamed dealers whenever the gold price increases. Dealers are often ordered to stop trading in order to keep the price stable.
A Mandalay dealer said: “The regime always blame us whenever the price goes high, while the the real cause lies with themselves.”

Sources say that the Myanmar (Burma) Gold Traders Association might call a meeting with gold dealers in Mandalay if the gold price continues to rise.
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Farmers sell livestock to repay loans

Jan 6, 2010 (DVB)–Farmers in central Burma forced to repay loans months in advance of their deadline have reportedly been selling off livestock, following threats of arrest.

The debts stem from fertilizer bought on credit from local authorities in Magwe division. Authorities had reportedly given an eight-month deadline on repayment, but have demanded the money after four months.

The situation has been compounded by last year’s poor crop harvest, with farmers failing to make any significant profit.

Furthermore, the fertilizer was forced on the farmers at an elevated price, one farmer from Myo Thit town in Magwe division said.

“The farmers didn’t want to buy fertilizer [from the authorities] as they were selling it at 20,000 kyat ($US20) per barrel when the market price is 13,000 kyat ($US13),” he said.

He added that the local township chairman had ordered the arrest of seven farmers in Theebin village if they could not pay the money back by 7 January, and that famers were now being forced to sell their cows to repay their debt.

Meanwhile, farmers in Magwe’s Yaynanchaung township said that local authorities were also forcing them to buy fertilizer at inflated prices, despite crops having already been planted.

“[Authorities here] are forcing farmers to buy out-of-date fertilizer after crop planting season,” one farmer said. “They said our lands will no longer be ours if we don’t buy.”

Reporting by Naw Say Phaw
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US senator Webb gives election backing

Jan 6, 2010 (DVB)–US senator Jim Webb, the only senior-level US official to have met Burmese junta chief Than Shwe, has said that he supports the junta’s controversial planned elections, to be held this year.

In a statement released on Monday, Webb, who chairs the US senate’s East Asia and Pacific Affairs subcommittee, said that he “was pleased to learn that the Burmese government is carrying forward its intention to hold national elections in 2010”.

“I will support all appropriate efforts to ensure that the election process is credible and transparent… [and] stand ready to help in all appropriate ways as we work toward the day when the Burmese people can fully rejoin the world community.” he added.

Echoing UN secretary general Ban Ki-moon’s praise for the “support” from the junta of UN goals for the country, Webb said that the UN and other international organizations “could provide valuable election assistance, and thus enhance the integrity of the process”.

The Burmese government is yet to announce a date for elections, which have been mired in controversy. The international community is undecided on whether to support what appears to be a superficial ploy to cement military rule in the country, with the 2008 constitution guaranteeing 25 percent of parliamentary seats to the military even prior to voting.

Despite Webb’s comments, the US state department said on Monday that it had seen no evidence of a willingness by the generals to move towards democratic transition, with the number of political prisoners continuing to rise.

Webb however holds considerable clout on US policy to Burma, and his visit to the pariah state in May triggered a shift towards an emphasis on US engagement with the reclusive generals, following years of sanctions and isolation.

He also met with detained opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, although the constitution, coupled with her ongoing house arrest, prohibits her from participating in the elections.

Consequently, her National League for Democracy (NLD) party has not yet announced whether it will compete or not, and has demanded a revision of the constitution prior to polling.

His comments also symbolized a wider shift in rhetoric from both Washington and the UN, which in the past had been accusatory.

Reporting by Francis Wade
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Burma will struggle for attention in 2010
Francis Wade

Jan 6, 2010 (DVB)–The extent of Burma’s “boutique” attraction for the international community will be tested this year as the opposition vies for attention amidst a horde of other, equally controversial, elections.

Joining Burma in polling this year will be a smorgasbord of countries that have hogged the world’s spotlight for the past decade, and which have proved perhaps more thorny for both the UN and the self-professed leading exporter of democracy, the United States. The effect could be that elections in Burma, long the cause célèbre for film stars and First Ladies, but denied any real emphatic action from world leaders, will be submerged by more pressing priorities.

Sudan is due to cast ballots in February this year, while Iraq will follow in March. Both countries present serious concerns for the international community: Khartoum’s electoral timetable is overshadowed by the International Criminal Court (ICC) arrest warrant for President Omar al-Bashir, the first sitting head of state to be indicted by the ICC, while Iraq will require full US attention as calls for Washington to clean up and get out gather in momentum. President Obama, who rode into office on the promise of conjuring stability from the Baghdad rubble, cannot afford a repeat of the US-backed Afghanistan elections last year, which continue to be mired in accusations of corruption.

In three weeks, Sri Lanka will hold its first presidential elections since 2005, with the fallout of the government’s final offensive against the rebel Tamil Tigers in March 2009 still scarring the landscape there. The incumbent, Mahinda Rajapaksa, will contest the elections against former army commander, General Sarath Fonseka, both of whom the UN has said may have violated international criminal law during the Tamil offensive.

The Venezuelan legislative elections in September will be closely monitored by the US for any opportunity to pounce on and weaken the grip of President Chavez, while Ukraine will vote later this month for the first time since 2004, and the subsequent, and now infamous, Orange Revolution that exploded following controversy over the results.

Elsewhere a tide of change may be sweeping across Africa, particularly in the conflict-ravaged Great Lakes, where Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania will also head to the ballot box. The May elections in Ethiopia will serve as an acid test for Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, whose previous inauguration into office in 2005 was followed by protests in which nearly 200 people were killed.

Thus Burma’s position this year on the priority list is perhaps more tenuous than one might think. It would appear that the ruling junta has picked its election year wisely, comforted by the prospect that the attention that really matters could be focused elsewhere. Moreover, details of the elections have been sufficiently vague so as to render preparation, both by international diplomats and media, not to mention the opposition inside Burma, an exhausting and frustrating task.

It is sobering to contrast the importance of Burma for the two major diplomatic powers, the US and UN, against the multitude of other major political events this year. While the US needs a government in Burma that will block the encroachment of China, this danger is less immediate that the potential fallout of yet another disaster in Iraq, particularly given the fragile platform Obama now stands on. Burma has been labeled a “boutique issue” for the US when weighed against the global ramifications of a nuclear North Korea or Iran, a sweeping anti-US ‘pink’ tide across Latin America, or further fissuring of the Middle East.

Similarly, the UN will forever be haunted by its impotence during the Darfur conflict in Sudan, not to mention the Rwandan genocide, and will need to concentrate its efforts on removing the prospect of continuing bloodshed there. Pressure on the UN to channel energy towards Burma this year will be comparatively weak given the adeptness of the junta, unlike al-Bashir, at hiding much of the continuing atrocities from the world’s eyes.

Ironically, the ongoing international outrage at opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi’s sentencing last year could be the one beacon of hope for the secretive, pariah state, such is the continued draw and idolatry of the 64-year-old. Any infringement on her catapults Burma onto the world stage, but the words of kindness from world leaders hide a limp reluctance to really intervene, and do little to advance her cause. The inability of the West to really engage and invest in the Burma crisis may speak volumes for any hope of change in the coming elections.