Monday, January 18, 2010

Myanmar's Suu Kyi meets junta liaison: official
Fri Jan 15, 9:33 am ET

YANGON (AFP) – Myanmar's detained pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi met the ruling junta's liaison officer Friday, officials and her party said, in the latest sign of dialogue between the two sides.

A Myanmar official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said labour minister Aung Kyi, the government's liaison with Suu Kyi, met her for 30 minutes at a state-run guesthouse in Yangon. He gave no details of their discussions.

It is the fourth meeting between the pair since the beginning of October and comes after the country's supreme court agreed last month to hear a final appeal against her house arrest.

"We do not know details about the meeting but we expect future talks. There are several things to discuss," said Khin Maung Swe, a spokesman for Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD).

He said the NLD hoped the junta would allow members of the party's central executive committee to meet Suu Kyi at a later date.

Nobel laureate Suu Kyi, 64, was ordered to spend another 18 months in detention in August after being convicted over an incident in which an American man swam to her house. A lower court rejected an initial appeal in October.

Myanmar's military rulers have kept Suu Kyi in detention for 14 of the last 20 years, having refused to recognise her political party's landslide victory in the country's last democratic elections in 1990.

The extension of her house arrest after a trial at Yangon's notorious Insein Prison sparked international outrage as it effectively keeps her off the stage at elections promised by the regime some time in 2010.

Friday's meeting was a further sign of shifting relations between Suu Kyi and the junta since she wrote in September to the military head, Senior General Than Shwe, offering to cooperate in getting Western sanctions lifted.

She wrote a second time in November, requesting a meeting with Than Shwe.

State media reported in December that she had been "insincere" and "dishonest" in sending the letters, accusing her of leaking them to foreign media and of a "highly questionable" change of tack after years of favouring sanctions.
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Myanmar democracy leader Suu Kyi meets official
Fri Jan 15, 6:51 am ET


YANGON, Myanmar (AP) – Detained Myanmar pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi on Friday held her first meeting this year with the Cabinet official responsible for contact with her, as her party makes preparations for possible participation in elections.

Officials said Suu Kyi was taken from her home to meet for about 20 minutes with Relations Minister Aung Kyi. The officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they are not authorized to release information, did not know the contents of their talk.

Myanmar's military government has set elections, the first since 1990, for an unspecified date this year. Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy party, which has not yet declared whether it will take part, this week expanded its central executive committee by nine members to 20.

Last year, party colleagues agreed to Suu Kyi's suggestion that the committee be reorganized. Most of its members are elderly.

Suu Kyi's last meeting with Aung Kyi was on Dec. 9, when he informed her that her request to be allowed to meet with the party elders was granted. She met them on Dec. 16.

Suu Kyi has also requested a meeting with junta chief Senior Gen. Than Shwe to explain how she would cooperate in tasks "beneficial to the country," but is not yet known to have received any response.

The constitution adopted in 2008 that set up this year's polls was considered undemocratic by her party. It has clauses that would ensure that the military remains the controlling power in government, and would bar Suu Kyi from holding office.

Politics in Myanmar have been deadlocked since Suu Kyi's party overwhelmingly won the 1990 elections. The military refused to allow it to take power and clamped down on the pro-democracy movement, causing the United States and another Western nations to impose economic and political sanctions in an attempt to isolate the junta.

However, the Obama administration has said the sanctions failed to foster reforms and is seeking to engage the junta through high-level talks.
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Thousands view solar eclipse in Africa and Asia
By RAFIQ MAQBOOL, Associated Press Writer – 1 hr 48 mins ago


DHANUSHKODI, India (AP) – Thousands of people in Africa and Asia viewed an eclipse Friday as the moon crossed the sun's path blocking everything but a narrow, blazing rim of light.

The path of the eclipse began in Africa — passing through Chad, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, Kenya and Somalia before crossing the Indian Ocean, where it reached its peak, according to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Web site.

The path then continued into Asia where the eclipse could be seen in Maldives, southern India, parts of Sri Lanka, Myanmar and China.

Clouds obscured the partial solar eclipse in the Kenyan capital Nairobi, disappointing residents who were up early to catch a glimpse.

"I woke up very early because I wanted to see the eclipse, but I have only been able to catch just a few seconds of it because the clouds kept blocking the view. If I weren't more observant, I would've missed it," said Monica Kamau.

The eclipse is known as an annular eclipse because the moon doesn't block the sun completely.

Annular eclipses, which are considered far less important to astronomers than total eclipses of the sun, occur about 66 times a century and can only be viewed by people in the narrow band along its path.

In Uganda, locals refer to an eclipse as a war between the sun and moon.

"It is rare to see such an eclipse. I am excited to be seeing this one. It shows how powerful God is," said Damalie Nakaja, a shopkeeper in Kampala.

Friday's eclipse was visible from a 190-mile (300-kilometer) -wide path that passes through half the globe, according to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Web site.

Hundreds gathered to view the phenomenon in southern India's Dhanushkodi, a tiny town at the tip of a rocky strip of land jutting out into the ocean, where the eclipse could be seen for about 10 minutes.

In the southern Indian city of Bangalore, hundreds went to a planetarium to see it.

"This is my first time viewing an eclipse through a pinhole camera at a planetarium and I'm very excited," said 12-year-old Aniruddh Kaushik.

But others in India were gripped by fear and refused to come outdoors. Hindu mythology states an eclipse is caused when a dragon-demon swallows the sun, while another myth says the sun's rays during an eclipse can harm unborn children.

In northern India's Haridwar town, hosting the Kumbh Mela — touted as the world's largest religious gathering — thousands of devout Hindus were expected to mark the eclipse by taking a dip in the frigid waters of the sacred Ganges river.

The eclipse could also be viewed in Indian capital New Delhi and Mumbai, the financial hub.

In Male, capital of Maldives, hundreds of people watched the eclipse with special glasses in an open field as it reached its peak.

The last total eclipse of the sun was on July 22, 2009, when it was visible in India, Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar, China and some Japanese islands.
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Ageing Myanmar opposition gets "middle-aged" boost
Fri Jan 15, 3:54 am ET


YANGON (Reuters) – Myanmar's main opposition party has injected some youth into its aging leadership, although the new recruits are all in their 60s and the ailing 92-year-old chairman keeps the top job.

The National League for Democracy (NLD) of detained Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi said nine "middle-aged" party officials were joining its executive committee, whose 11 existing members have an average age of nearly 82.

"We have added nine middle-aged party officials to fulfill the desire of the party's youth members and help reinforce the committee," senior NLD member Khin Maung Swe told Reuters.

Much of the NLD's leadership is frail and in poor health. Chairman Aung Shwe has been housebound for over a year due to illness.

Some of the older members are against the NLD running in this year's elections, the first in two decades, because they believe the constitution gives too much power to the military, which has ruled for almost five decades.

A former top NLD official said it was unlikely the new members, all former political prisoners, would have any impact on party policy in the short term.

"The only change we can expect is a steep drop in the average age," he said. "They have injected new blood into the leadership but the brains of the party will remain as old as before."
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Inner City Press - At UN, Indigenous Cite Abuse from Right and Left, Myanmar, U.S. and Ecuador
By Matthew Russell Lee

UNITED NATIONS, January 14 -- A review of indigenous people's rights at the UN on July 15 found problems with "militarism" in Myanmar and Colombia, including accusations that indigenous people in active pursuit of land rights are terrorists, and a failure to respect indigenous people's rights by governments of both the right and left.

The State of the World's Indigenous People mentions that in Myanmar, for example, indigenous people were tortured and their community ransacked. Inner City Press asked about Myanmar, and the chairperson of the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues, Victoria Tauli-Corpus from the Philippines, bemoaned the support that Asian countries have shown toward Myanmar's military government. The new ASEAN Commission on Human Rights, she argued, would take a closer look.

The UN, it appears, is taking even less of a look at Myanmar. On July 8, Inner City Press asked the Office of the Spokesperson for the Secretary General to comment on a dictum by Than Shwe, Burma's strongman, that voters in the upcoming election had been make the "correct choice."

There being no answer, four days later on January 12 at the noon briefing, Inner City Press put the same question to Spokesman Martin Neskiry. He responded that the statement was old, and that the UN would have no comment. He confirmed that Myanmar is being handled, such as it is, by UN chief of staff Vijay Nambiar.

Meanwhile, Ms. Tauli-Corpus' colleague, from Peru, said that entreaties are being made about American "military bases in Colombia." Ecuador was mentioned -- a leftist government that, in the name of pursuing natural resources, has enraged indigenous groups.

Inner City Press asked Mr. Corpus about the U.S. still not signing the Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People. The first time, the question was not answered. On a second pass, expanding to the Copenhagen climate change talks, Ms.Corpus acknowledged that the U.S. negotiators had opposed the inclusion of pro-indigenous language, before relenting and "unbracketing" it.

Not the position one would have predicted. But, Ms. Corpus said, the struggle continues. The Permanent Forum will meeting in the UN's new "UN-KIA" building. And we'll be there.
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Annular solar eclipse moves across Myanmar
www.chinaview.cn 2010-01-15 19:23:27


YANGON, Jan. 15 (Xinhua) -- The longest annular solar eclipse of the millennium moved across Myanmar on Friday beginning in Sittway city in the west at 01:15 p.m. (local time), according to the Meteorology and Hydrology Department.

The longest duration of the eclipse in Myanmar was 8 to 12 minutes region wise reaching its maximum with 80 percent of the sun obscurity by the moon in Nay Pyi Taw and 60 percent in Yangon at between 3:00 p.m. and 3:30 p.m..

The eclipse started to move out of Yangon sky towards the northeast at 3:20 p.m..

The eclipse, which crossed Myanmar, ended at 4:45 p.m., lasting for 3:30 hours, the sources said.

The eclipse entered from Sittway, Myanmar's Rakhine state in the west, and moved towards the northeast covering Shwebo, Mandalay and Monywa in the central part, and Pyin Oo Lwin and Lashio in the east and northeast, the sources added.

In Yangon, a lot of people, young and old, wearing special sun glasses, were curious to watch the partial eclipse when it started.

Viewed from the location at the Shwedagon Pagoda in Yangon, the partially obscured sun looked blazing with strong rays spreading out from the outline of the moon.

The weather in the former capital was a little cloudy without rainfall.

Air temperature fell slightly during the eclipse with little effect on daily activities.

The millennium's longest annular solar eclipse started from central Africa and moved across the Indian Ocean, southern India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Myanmar and is moving towards China where the eclipse will end.

Astronomers in Myanmar said after witnessing the solar eclipse this year, the country will only see again such solar eclipse on July 22, 2085.

Myanmar experienced similar event on Oct. 24, 1995 with 88.33 percent seen.
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Jan 16, 2010
Asia Times Online - India, Bangladesh look to turn a corner

By Siddharth Srivastava

NEW DELHI - Ever since India intervened in the partition of Pakistan that led to the creation of Bangladesh in 1971, relations between Delhi and Dhaka have been strained, with the latter ever-suspicious of its neighboring "big brother", compounded by fears of Indian goods swamping Bangladesh's economy.

India, for its part, has been frustrated by Dhaka's penchant to "obstruct" meaningful bilateral dialogue and is concerned about Pakistan-backed terrorists and insurgents seeking shelter in Bangladesh.

India has of late conveyed to the United States that its global efforts against terror in Pakistan and Afghanistan cannot succeed unless nations such as Nepal and Bangladesh are strengthened, economically and politically. Weak governments and security structures in India's smaller neighbors provide safe havens for terrorists, given the heat of US military operations in other areas.

Some of these issues were addressed this week during the maiden visit to India of Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina following her electoral victory in December 2008. She sought "a path-breaking and historic opportunity" to build a "new and forward-looking" relationship.

Bangladesh looked at India as a "natural friend", said Hasina, and asked India to "open new doors and a new era" in bilateral cooperation, even as New Delhi conferred on her the prestigious Indira Gandhi Peace Prize.

Commenting on anti-India sentiment in Bangladesh, Hasina said, "Perhaps that may remain. I cannot change that ... But common people want better lives and if results are achieved [in India-Bangladesh cooperation], these sentiments will not work."

Observers say that such statements are not mere rhetoric as the ground for positive movement in India-Bangladesh relations has never been better, given that it has traditionally been Dhaka that has been "prickly" about being associated too closely with India.

First, Hasina rides on a large parliamentary majority, which means that her government does not depend for survival on Muslim hardiners and India-baiters. Former Bangladesh prime minister Khaleda Zia and her Islamist allies governed the country from 2001 to 2006, a period during which India-Bangladesh relations were particularly bitter.

Second, militants killed Hasina's former finance minister and have tried to assassinate her; she has little sympathy for militancy. She is aware of the situation in Pakistan, where former state-backed militants orchestrated attacks in India and elsewhere, but now threaten the existence of their creators. A reflection of changed thinking is that Dhaka recently delivered Arabinda Rajkhowa, the chief of the banned rebel group, the United Liberation Front of Assam, to India. (See India buoyed by Bangladesh's 'gift' Asia Times Online, December 9, 2009.)

Third, Bangladesh has become a bigger garment exporter than India, which gives it some confidence to stand up for itself as an economy. Dhaka is also considering inviting Indian software firms to set up in Bangladesh.

New Delhi has indicated that it aims to set in motion goodwill and structures (business, transport etc) that last beyond the thinking of a political party or an individual in power.

Thus, when Hasina met Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in New Delhi, the expectations were high. Manmohan was full of praise, calling Hasina an "outstanding political figure of South Asia who has worked tirelessly for the restoration of democracy in Bangladesh".

The premiers then got down to business, signing five agreements, including three pacts on counter-terrorism and one on power-sharing. A combined front against terror was at the top of the agenda.

"Terrorists do not have any religion or country and are giving a bad name to Islam, which symbolizes peace," Hasina said, emphasizing that her country was committed not to allow its soil to be used for terrorist activity against India.

The three pacts on counter-terrorism, including those on mutual legal assistance, transfer of convicted prisoners, the fight against international terrorism, organized crime and illegal drug trafficking, were aimed at concerns about stopping insurgents in India's troubled northeast from spilling into Bangladesh.

Importantly, Hasina said the countries were working on an extradition treaty. Though a timeframe was not specified, officials said the modalities would be worked out "soon".

New Delhi also announced a US$1 billion line of credit for infrastructure development in Bangladesh, which is the highest grant to any one country by India. India is also committed to supply 250 megawatts of power to its neighbor from its central grid.

India also offered a reduction of items from its negative trade list; this will benefit Bangladesh. Hasina's schedule included meetings with Indian business groups looking to invest in Bangladesh. These included the Tatas, who were earlier forced to scrap steel and power projects in Bangladesh worth US$3 billion, and India's biggest private telecom operator, Bharti Airtel, which is making a foray into Bangladesh.

Bangladesh welcomed New Delhi's initiative to provide duty-free access to the Indian market for the least-developed countries in the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation.

Regional Implications
Apart from acting on terror, another major breakthrough could be the proposed 950-kilometer, $1 billion Myanmar-Bangladesh-India (MBI) gas pipeline.

With the Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline stalled due to US-Iran geopolitical issues, India has become a supporter of the MBI so that it can access the rich hydrocarbon resources of Myanmar.

The MBI has been in limbo since a draft memorandum of understanding was signed three years ago as Dhaka linked implementing the pipeline to a reduction of its trade imbalance with India, to the establishment of a corridor for Nepalese goods to go into Bangladeshi ports, and access to hydropower from Bhutan.

This irked New Delhi as it opposes resolving bilateral issues as part of a trilateral agreement.

All the same, Hasina has now granted India access to Mongla and Chittagong ports for the movement of goods. In exchange, India expressed its intention to give access to Nepal and Bhutan to Bangladesh through its territory.

The MBI was initially mooted by a Bangladeshi private company, Mohona Holdings Limited, in 1997, a move approved by India and Myanmar. The pipeline is proposed to cut across Shwe in Arakan province in Myanmar and then go on to the Indian states of Mizoram and Tripura, and then to Kolkata in West Bengal via Bangladesh.

Frustrated with the repeated failure to get the MBI off the ground, Myanmar opted to supply gas to China, a fierce competitor for energy. China has since begun the construction of oil and gas pipelines from Myanmar.

New Delhi, however, feels there will still be plenty left over after meeting China's demand. Gas reserves of about six trillion cubic feet have been estimated in blocks A-1 and A-2 off Myanmar's Arakan coast.

In the new climate, the MBI might yet be a goer; Bangladesh has an acute gas shortage and could certainly use MBI gas, along with transit and management revenues.

Recently, Myanmar's ambassador to India, U Kyi Thein, said the project may take shape in the near future. "Something could happen in two to three years with Indian companies like GAIL, Essar Oil, ONGC and IOC exploring gas in Myanmar,'' Thein said.

Siddharth Srivastava is a New Delhi-based journalist. He can be reached at sidsri@yahoo.com.
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Newsweek - China's love affair with rogue states.
Friends With Benefits
By Isaac Stone Fish | Newsweek Web Exclusive
Jan 14, 2010


China is sometimes cast in the West as a selfish and intransigent child. Looking out for its own interests, this line of reasoning goes, it won't push Khartoum to curb attacks in Darfur, it won't deploy carrots or sticks to bring North Korea back to the Six-Party Talks, and it won't scold the Burmese junta for crackdowns against monks. Just this week, China's foreign ministry spokeswoman reiterated her country's commitment to distancing itself from the West's attempts to thwart Iran's quest for a nuclear bomb: "We don't believe sanctions could fundamentally solve the problem." China's investments and weapon sales to Iran made this seem largely about lust for Iran’s oil. But the truth is that in Iran, as in all of those other places, China's behavior is about more than just money. It actually has a soft spot for maverick nations that buck the international system, oppress their people, and threaten regional stability. In the end, China needs rogues.

Not that long ago, China was itself a rogue. During the Mao Zedong years, especially in the 1960s and 1970s, China's seclusion rivaled North Korea's. So it naturally gravitated toward its rogue peers; they could offer each other things they couldn't get from nations that ostracized them. After working its way back into the international system in the 1980s, China suffered a setback for cracking down on pro-democracy protestors at the end of the decade. "China was isolated after 1989, and Myanmar is isolated, so that gave the countries a natural sense of intimacy," says a foreign policy analyst working in Beijing who requested anonymity because of the sensitive nature of relations between those two countries. Like Sudan today, China faced widespread opprobrium after waging war against its own people during the Cultural Revolution and for the Tiananmen Square massacre of 1989.

As China slowly recovered its status in the years after 1989, it gained political and economic power and leveraged them by forging relationships—often by aid or investment—all over the world. "There's a tradition in Chinese foreign policy for being a leader in the developing world," says Abe Denmark, a fellow at the Center for a New American Security. It also used that power to help other pariahs: Supporting Myanmar's military government, delaying sanctions to Iran, propping up North Korea with donations, and sending a high-ranking envoy to visit Sudan during Obama's recent visit to Beijing are all examples of China's diplomatic love notes.

Naturally, some of this is simply about minding the store: there are huge resource-extraction opportunities in these places. China imports about 15 percent of its oil from Iran and about 5 percent from Sudan. No doubt China's economic planners sleep better at night knowing that 20 percent of their petroleum is as likely to flow tomorrow as it did yesterday. Even North Korea has untapped minerals wealth worth up to $6 trillion. (South Koreans sometimes refer to North Korea as a Chinese province because of Chinese corporate designs on resources there.) Moreover, it behooves China to invest in places that the West won't, because it doesn't have to compete against bigger, richer, and more technologically sophisticated corporations practiced at the extraction of hard-to-reach resources. The diplomatic isolation of rogue states means that Chinese companies are often the biggest game in town.

Yet there's more at work here than money. Beijing has "done some good by urging Sudan to take peacekeepers," said Denmark. It has tried to set up a border economic zone with Burma, and some interpreters even think it has caused North Korea to rethink its nuclear ambitions. By leading with its own success story, China is attempting to show rogue leaders that they can liberalize their economies (which would redound further to Chinese benefit) without liberating their people. Beijing may not merit a Nobel Peace Prize, but at least it contributes to the stability of these regimes and prevents a Somalia-like descent into chaos.

In fact, that is the animating spirit of these friendships. China needs rogues because their collapse or, even worse, their democratization, frightens the government. On the stability front, a failed North Korea would send countless thousands of refugees fleeing into China. On the other hand, a reunified Korea would put a U.S. ally—and some 25,000 U.S. troops—on China's border. In Sudan, it's true that increased human-rights abuses might damage China's image. But in the opposite scenario—where Sudan becomes a tolerant and conflict-free member in good standing of the community of nations—Sudan would attract much more Western investment, bringing competition for Chinese companies.

On the democratization front, if Iranian protestors overthrow their government, it will be another reminder of the power of protest—a lesson that the government in Beijing is not eager to teach its citizens after the collapse of the USSR and color revolutions in Eastern Europe. Already, nationalist cyberactivists in China are supporting the Iranian regime. Beijing knows that, if anything happened in Iran, the greatest worry wouldn't be the spike in oil prices but the domestic instability it might face at home.

China's relationship with these countries might be hitting a rough patch. On January 11 the Archbishop of Sudan condemned China's involvement in his country: "China is looking only for minerals, they are looking for economic benefit. That is all. That is damaging the country." Iranian cyberhackers hacked into Baidu, China's largest search engine, and displayed an Iranian flag on the homepage.

Still, some bonds are unbreakable. On a recent visit to North Korea, China's defense minister, Liang Guanglie, reminisced about his time as a soldier during the Korean War, when the two impoverished Communist allies fought against the American imperialist aggressor. "No force on earth can break the unity of the armies and peoples of the two countries and it will last forever."
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chinadialogue - The Mekong under threat
Milton Osborne
January 15, 2010


South-east Asia’s longest river has been transformed in the past three decades. Now, the food security of the Lower Mekong Basin hangs in the balance, writes Milton Osborne.

“In the face of the threats posed by both the Chinese dams and those proposed for the downstream stretches of the river, there is no existing body able to mandate or control what individual countries choose to do on their sections of the Mekong.”

Until the 1980s the Mekong River flowed freely for 4,900 kilometres from its 5,100-metre-high source in Tibet to the coast of Vietnam, where it finally poured into the South China Sea. The Mekong is the world’s twelfth longest river, and the eighth or tenth largest, in terms of the 475 billion cubic metres of water it discharges annually. Then and now it passes through or by China, Burma (Myanmar), Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. It is south-east Asia’s longest river, but 44% of its course is in China, a fact of capital importance for its ecology and the problems associated with its governance.

In 1980 not only were there no dams on its course, but much of the river could not be used for sizeable, long-distance navigation because of the great barrier of the Khone Falls, located just above the border between Cambodia and Laos, and the repeated rapids and obstacles that marked its course in Laos and China. Indeed, no exaggeration is involved in noting that the Mekong’s overall physical configuration in 1980 was remarkably little changed from that existing when it was explored by the French Mekong Expedition that travelled painfully up the river from Vietnam’s Mekong Delta to Jinghong in southern Yunnan in 1866 and 1867. This was the first European expedition to explore the Mekong from southern Vietnam into China and to produce an accurate map of its course to that point.

Since 2003, the most substantial changes to the Mekong’s character below China have related to navigation. Following a major program to clear obstacles from the Mekong begun early in the present decade, a regular navigation service now exists between southern Yunnan and the northern Thai river port of Chiang Saen. It is not clear whether the Chinese, who promoted the concept of these clearances and carried out the work involved, still wish to develop navigation further down the river, as was previously their plan. To date, the environmental effects of the navigation clearances have been of a limited character.

The Mekong plays a vital role in the countries of the Lower Mekong Basin (LMB): Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. (Burma is not within the basin). In all four LMB countries the Mekong is a source of irrigation. In Vietnam’s Mekong Delta the annual pattern of flood and retreat insure that this region contributes over 50% of agriculture’s contribution to the country’s GDP. For all four LMB countries the Mekong and its associated systems, particularly Cambodia’s Great Lake (Tonle Sap), are a bountiful source of fish, with the annual value of the catch conservatively valued at US$2 billion. More than 70% of the Cambodian population’s annual animal protein consumption comes from the river’s fish. Eighty per cent of the Mekong’s fish species are migratory, some travelling many hundreds of kilometres between spawning and reaching adulthood. Overall, eight out of 10 persons living in the LMB depend on the river for sustenance, either in terms of wild fish captured in the river or through both large and small-scale agriculture and horticulture.

Since the 1980s, the character of the river has been steadily transformed by China’s dam-building program in Yunnan province. The important changes that had taken place on the course of the river since 1980 and up to 2004 were outlined in the Lowy Institute Paper, River at Risk: The Mekong and the Water Politics of Southeast Asia. In 2010 three hydroelectric dams are already in operation and two more very large dams are under construction and due for completion in 2012 and 2017. Plans exist for at least two further dams, and by 2030 there could be a “cascade” of seven dams in Yunnan. Even before that date and with five dams commissioned, China will be able to regulate the flow of the river, reducing the floods of the wet season and raising the level of the river during the dry. In building its dams, China has acted without consulting its downstream neighbours. Although until now the effects of the dams so far built have been limited, this is set to change within a decade, as discussed below.

For despite the limited environmental costs of the dams China has so far completed, and of the river clearances to aid navigation, this state of affairs will change once China has five dams in operation. And the costs exacted by the Chinese dams will be magnified if the proposed mainstream dams below China are built.

Even if no dams are built on the mainstream below China, the cascade to which it is committed will ultimately have serious effects on the functioning of the Mekong once the dams are used to control the river’s flow. This will be the case because the cascade will:

* Alter the hydrology of the river and so the current “flood pulse”, the regular rise and fall of the river on an annual basis which plays an essential part in the timing of spawning and the migration pattern. This will be particularly important in relation to the Tonle Sap in Cambodia, but will have an effect throughout the river’s course;

* Block the flow of sediment down the river which plays a vital part both in depositing nutrients on the agricultural regions flooded by the river and also as a trigger for fish migration — at present well over 50% of the river’s sediment comes from China;

* At least initially cause problems by restricting the amount of flooding that takes place most importantly in Cambodia and Vietnam; and

* Lead to the erosion of river banks.

Proposed dams below China

So China’s dam-building plans are worrying enough, but the proposed new mainstream dams would pose even more serious concerns. In contrast to what has occurred in China, and until very recently, there have been no firm plans for the construction of dams on the mainstream of the Mekong below China. This situation has changed over the past three years. Memoranda of Understanding have been signed for 11 proposed dams: seven in Laos; two between Laos and Thailand; and two in Cambodia. The proposed dams are being backed by foreign private capital or Chinese state-backed firms. Government secrecy in both Cambodia and Laos means that it is difficult to judge which, if any, of these proposed dams will actually come into being. Attention and concern have focused on two sites: Don Sahong at the Khone Falls in southern Laos and Sambor in north-eastern Cambodia. The reason for this attention is that if built these dams would block the fish migrations that are essential to insure the food supplies of Laos and Cambodia.

Those built at sites higher upstream would cause the least damage to fish stocks, but if, as currently seems possible, the most likely dams to be built would be at Don Sahong and Sambor, the costs to fish stocks could be very serious. This is because unanimous expert opinion judges that there are no ways to mitigate the blocking of fish migration that would occur if these dams are constructed. None of the suggested possible forms of mitigation — fish ladders, fish lifts, and alternative fish-passages — are feasible for the species of fish in the Mekong and the very large biomass that is involved in their migratory pattern. Fish ladders were tried and failed at the Pak Mun dam on one of the Mekong’s tributaries in Thailand in the 1990s.

Why are the governments of Laos and Cambodia contemplating the construction of dams that seem certain to have a devastating effect on their populations’ food security? The answers are complex and include some of the following:

* A lack of knowledge at some levels of government;

* A readiness to disregard available information on the basis that it may be inaccurate; and

* A belief or conviction that fishing is “old-fashioned”, whereas the production of hydroelectricity is “modern”.

In Cambodia’s case, and in particular in relation to the proposed dam at Sambor, the fact that a Chinese firm is seeking to construct the dam raises the possibility that prime minister Hun Sen is unready to offend the country that has become Cambodia’s largest aid donor and Cambodia’s “most trusted friend”. In Laos, the proposal for a dam at Don Sahong is very much linked to the interests of the Siphandone family for whom southern Laos is a virtual fief. Of all the proposed dam sites, Don Sahong is the most studied in terms of knowledge of fisheries so that it can be safely said that the planned dam would wreak havoc on a migratory system that involves fish moving through the Hou Sahong channel throughout the year, movement that takes place in both directions, upstream and downstream.

In the face of the threats posed by both the Chinese dams and those proposed for the downstream stretches of the river, there is no existing body able to mandate or control what individual countries choose to do on their sections of the Mekong. The agreement establishing the Mekong River Commission (MRC) in 1995 does not include China or Burma, and though the latter’s absence is not important, the fact that China is not an MRC member underlines the body’s weakness. In any event, the MRC members’ commitment to maintaining the Mekong’s sustainability has not overcome their basic commitment to national self-interest. A prime example of this is the manner in which the Lao government has proceeded in relation to the proposed Don Sahong dam. For at least two years while the dam was under consideration there was no consultation with Cambodia. Similarly, so far as can be judged, Cambodia’s consideration of a possible dam at Sambor has taken place without consultation with the governments of either Laos or Vietnam.

At the moment the best hope is that both the Cambodian and Lao governments will abandon their plans for Sambor and Don Sahong. If they do not, the future of the Mekong as a great source of food, both through fish and agriculture, is in serious jeopardy. At the time of writing the intentions of the Lao and Cambodian governments remain uncertain.

Concern about dams in China and the LMB is given added importance in the light of worries associated with the likely effects of climate change in the region through which the river flows. Research suggests there will be a series of challenges to the Mekong’s future ecological health. Until recently concerns about the likely impact of climate change tended to focus on the ongoing reduction in the size of the glaciers from which its springs in the Himalayas and which feed it as the result of snow melt. But while there is no doubt that a diminishment in size of the glaciers feeding the Mekong is taking place, recent research has suggested that a more immediate serious threat to the river’s health will come from sea-level changes, particularly as rising levels could begin to inundate large sections of Vietnam’s Mekong Delta. To what extent the threat posed by rising sea levels will be affected by another predicted development linked to climate change — greatly increased precipitation leading to more flooding during the wet season — is not yet clearly established. But research is pointing to a greatly increased precipitation that is likely to cause major increases in flooding in the future, possibly as early as 2030.

Against the pessimistic views outlined in this article perhaps the best that can be hoped for is that once serious consequences begin to become apparent advice can be offered to mitigate the worst effects of the developments taking place. Where once it was appropriate to write of risks, when assessing the Mekong’s future it is now time to write of fundamental threats to the river’s current and vital role in all of the countries of the Lower Mekong Basin.


Milton Osborne is visiting fellow at the Lowy Institute. He has been associated with the south-east Asian region since being posted to the Australian embassy in Phnom Penh in 1959. Osborne is the author of 10 books on the history and politics of south-east Asia, including The Mekong: turbulent past, uncertain future (2006) and Southeast Asia: an introductory history.

An earlier version of this article was published as "The Mekong River Under Threat," The Asia-Pacific Journal, 2-2-10, January 11, 2010. It is used here with permission.

This article draws on the author’s Lowy Institute Paper 27, 2009. See the complete paper here. To read the complete paper, it is necessary to type in the current year after entering the site.

Homepage image shows the proposed location of the Sambor Dam, Kratie province, Cambodia. Photograph by Carl Middleton, International Rivers.
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Topanga Messenger - Naw Paw Ray, Prize-Winning Burmese Educator, Visits Topanga
By Jesse Gordon
Thu Jan 14, 1:19 pm ET

Naw Paw Ray, a Burmese refugee, has been living illegally in Thailand for 18 years. This year she will finally secure her Thai citizenship and can travel freely on a temporary passport. On her first trip, this November, she came to Topanga.

The path that led her here is as complicated as it is moving and involves three stories: one of a country crushed by a brutal dictatorship; another of a self-made educator who, against all odds, has touched the lives of thousands; and a third, about the global stewardship of a tiny private school nestled in the mountains of Los Angeles.

Paw Ray spent several days of her trip at MUSE Elementary. She met with parents, teachers and administrators, but seemed most at home in the classrooms where she sang songs with the children, told stories and listened. Her relaxed manner, both firm and fun-loving, totally captivated the young Californians. A tiny woman with a wide smile, Paw Ray may be a natural "kid person," but she also has a lot of practice visiting schools; when in Thailand, she visits four or five a month. The organization she founded and directs, BMWEC (Burmese Mirgrant Workers Education Committee), runs 55 schools, employs 547 teachers and has a student body of approximately 10,000 children.

At the age of 13, Paw Ray watched her village burn down. It was in the Karen province in Eastern Burma, the home of an ethnic minority frequently targeted by the military junta that rules that country (which they renamed Myanmar). When Paw Ray tells the story of her village, she focuses on one image in particular–that of her schoolhouse in flames. She and her family–like so many other "Internally Displaced" Burmese–escaped to the jungle. When she finally made it to Thailand, she was in her mid-twenties and had three children of her own. As illegal "migrants," her children could not enroll in Thai schools. Nor could the hundreds of other kids Paw Ray saw around her neighborhood, often living on the streets. "When I saw these children, they reminded me of myself at an earlier age," she says. "I was sad that they did not have any way to study. I wanted to give them an opportunity that I didn't have."

Paw Ray's first school, which she opened in 1999, was housed in a small bamboo hut and had 25 students between the ages of 3 and 12. "The school was a home and the home was a kitchen and the kitchen was a classroom," is how she describes it. She and the students rose at 5 a.m., cooked food for the day, then cleared the space and set out tables for study. At the end of the school day, they cleared the tables and put down mats to sleep on. Indeed, from the beginning, Paw Ray's schools have been about more than just education. "I saw the kids needed a busy educational life to protect themselves from drugs and human trafficking," she said. "They needed to learn and to be safe when their parents went away to work." In addition to academics, her 55 schools provide health care, security, food, and, in many cases, housing for their students.

These needs become clearer in the context of the refugee culture that exists along the Thai-Burmese border, and particularly in the city of Mae Sot, where Paw Ray lives.

Under the current Burmese regime, which has one of the worst human rights records on the planet, more than two million Burmese have been, like Paw Ray's family, "internally displaced." Since 2004, more than 3,000 villages in the Karen province alone, have been razed to the ground. If refugees are lucky enough not to be either murdered or enslaved by the military, they may be able to escape Burma's borders. In Thailand their choices are only slightly better. They may enter one of several refugee camps which, though sanctioned by the Thai government, are themselves internationally recognized as human disaster zones. Or they may fend for themselves as illegal migrants along the border. If parents are lucky enough to find employment on farms or in factories, the hours are usually brutally long; the word, "slavery," also comes up to describe these work conditions. Their children, meanwhile, are often left uncared for and vulnerable to a variety of diseases and human predators. Stories involving working in the sex industry, forced begging, drugs, abduction and kids-for-sale, are rampant.

"It's a survival situation," says Erin Terzieff, a teacher at MUSE, who has also taught in schools in both Burma and along the Thai border. "Kids are at about 60 percent normal body-weight in Mae Sot, but in the classroom you see that their minds are working exactly the same as our kids at MUSE. They are really creative, artistic, funny; they love to act and read and laugh. But outside of school you realize that life is a very precious commodity on this border. Every time I come back, kids are missing. You have to wonder where they've gone."

Terzieff, along with the MUSE's founder Suzy Amis Cameron, started the MUSE Global Program in 2007. The idea, she says, was to "Teach through a global lens and create cultural exchange on an educational level." Working as a kind of educational ambassador, she arranges interchange between the Good Morning School, one of Paw Ray's institutions in Mae Sot; Mana Tamariki, a Maori immersion school in New Zealand; and MUSE here in Topanga. As an example of the program's effects, in the wake of Paw Ray's visit, energized first- and second-graders at MUSE wrote letters to Auung San Suu Ky, the democracy leader long held under house arrest in Burma, as well as President Obama, thanking him for supporting her release (see note below). Through donations, MUSE has additionally provided the yearly operating costs of the Good Morning School for the past two years.

"This is a great thing and very lucky for the Good Morning School," Paw Ray says. Though she acknowledges the value of "learning about American culture and American discipline," and that MUSE has inspired her to "set up new programs and use new strategies," she consistently returns to the bottom line: "Without MUSE's support, maybe these children would not be in school." Speaking with her, it becomes clear that Paw Ray's stakes in her work are existentially high, both in terms of saving young lives and in terms of her homeland. "When we get freedom in Burma, we have to go back to our own land," she says. "For the next generation, the most important [thing] is to teach them Burmese language and culture. If we lose our language and our culture, we lose our nation."

Though Paw Ray's voice is soft and her English careful, one can hear her strength and deep conviction come through in her words. Indeed, as the enormous growth of her BMWEC organization proves, her brand of educational activism has come a long way in a relatively short time. It is easy to forget that, despite her warmth and humility, Paw Ray is the CEO of a very large organization and engaged in many levels of outreach and fundraising. In 2007, she was elected to the prestigious Ashoka Fellowship. In 2008, she was visited by Laura Bush, as well as a delegation of Nobel Peace Prize winners. "Many of us believe that she will win a Nobel Prize herself; or at least she deserves to," says Terzieff. Her mission is simple and clear: the more support she can attract, the more schools she can open; the more schools she can open, the more kids she can educate and protect. "It's hard to keep track of everything I'm doing now, but I know exactly that I am working for the kids, for the next generation," she affirms. "Education is the key to everything. A country, a community, grows up with the children it has educated. Without good education our countries and our communities might fail."

In her area of the world, wherever Paw Ray sees need, she opens a school. "She goes where no-one else will, often at great personal danger," asserts Terzieff. "There are no real rules. She makes things happen first, then deals with the policies and the fiscal realities later."

Meanwhile, Paw Ray still lives in the boarding house on the campus of the first school she founded (which has now been expanded to include an orphanage). "I have no home. Perhaps my home is in Heaven only," she says cheerfully. "I live with 200 kids. This is my house and my family's house. My children sleep with the boarding house children. We are all the same–the same family." According to Terzieff, in the city of Mae Sot, any child you speak with knows Paw Ray. "They call her ‘Mother,'" she says.
Even though the kids in Topanga probably don't call her "Mother," now they know her too.

On November 17, 2009, President Obama became the first US President to meet with the 10 leaders of ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations). During the meeting he urged Myanmar/Burma's prime minister, Thein Sein, to release Aung San Suu Kyi, as well as other political prisoners in his country. This is a very important step in the path to freedom for Myanmar/Burma. For more information on this, or to write a letter of support, visit amnestyUSE.org. For more information on MUSE Global, visit museelementary.org. For more information on Naw Paw Ray and her work, visit ashoka.org or bmwec.org.

A gallery of additional photos of Naw Paw Ray's visit to Topanga are available at :http://gallery.me.com/jessegordon#100390.
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The Irrawaddy - Orwell's Old School Sold to Burmese Tycoon
By WAI MOE - Friday, January 15, 2010


The Htoo Group of Companies owned by Tay Za, a close associate of Burmese junta leader Snr-Gen Than Shwe, has reportedly bought the police headquarters buildings in Mandalay, according to local sources.

Businessmen in Mandalay said Htoo, which is on the West's economic sanctions lists, will control one of the prime business locations in the central area of the city. There was no information about the price paid for the buildings.

The old police station is bounded by 27th and 28th streets and 66th and 67th streets near the city’s moat and Sedona Hotel. Some buildings in the compound date back to the colonial period.

One building, the old Burma Provincial Police Training School, is the site where George Orwell was trained as a British police officer and is mentioned in his classic “Burmese Days.” Orwell served as police officer in Burma from 1922 to 1927.

“Not only Orwell, but recently the writer Emma Larkin wrote about the school in her book, 'Finding George Orwell in Burma,'” a journalist in Mandalay told The Irrawaddy on Friday. “We see it as a historical building. It should not be for sale.”

Previously, Tay Za reportedly bought various state-owned buildings in Rangoon, including a high school in Insein Township.

Along with other businessmen close to the ruling generals, Tay Za is targeted on the sanctions lists of the US, UK, EU and Australia, following the junta’s crackdown on demonstrations in September 2007.

In November, Tay Za received permission to import 900 vehicles for sale in Burma, a rare concession. Newer model cars are still relatively rare in the country. At the end of 2009, his company also won contracts for two hydro power dam projects in Upper Burma.

Tay Za is involved in nearly all of the key industries of Burma, including logging, gems, jewelry, tourism and transportation, civil engineering, construction, international trade, rice, rubber and other agricultural products, while importing machinery. He is also involved in the regime’s newly built Yadanabon Cyber City near Mandalay.

Recently, he was awarded one of the highest honorary titles, Thiri Pyanchi. Burma analysts and pro-democracy activists say junta head Snr-Gen Than Shwe and his family do business through Tay Za’s companies.

“Tay Za can be considered the only representative of Than Shwe’s family businesses, and he can influence the heads of two of the country’s biggest conglomerates, the Union of Myanmar Economic Holding Company and the Myanmar Economic Cooperation company,” Burmese researcher Win Min wrote in an academic paper on the Burmese military.

Tay Za has also been linked to arms deals for the junta, including the purchase of MiG-29s from Russia. The US Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control describes Tay Za as “an arms dealer and financial henchman of Burma's repressive junta.”
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The Irrawaddy - Thai Cabinet to Reconsider Migrants' Work Permits
By LAWI WENG - Friday, January 15, 2010


Nearly 60,000 Burmese migrant workers in Thailand, whose migrant registration cards are due to expire on Jan 20, will be deported if they do not get work permits within the next few days or the Thai government quickly changes its policy to allow them to stay, according to leading right groups in Thailand.

“Many of the 59,228 migrant workers [whose cards expire on Jan. 20] have not been to apply for nationality verification. If the Thai government does not extend their registration cards for one more year, they will be deported,” said Andy Hall, the director of the Migrant Justice Programme (MJP), based in Bangkok.

“Even if the government deports them, they will come back illegally because they need the money. The government should find a solution for them. It is quite dangerous if they are forced to work underground,” he said.

MJP said it will ask Thai Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva to consider deeply what will happen to the 59,228 migrants if they are deported.

The Thai government announced in December 2008 that migrants who have not yet completed the nationality verification process by Feb 28, 2010, would be deported.

MJP and other rights groups said that the Thai government will have a Cabinet meeting soon and the migrants will have to wait until a Cabinet resolution is issued that allows them to formally extend their permits.

The right groups have urged the Thai government to allow two more years for migrant workers to go through the nationality verification process. In the meantime, there are only 12,000 migrant workers in Thailand who have work permits.

Of an estimated 2 to 3 million Burmese migrant workers in Thailand only 1,310,686 have registered as migrant workers.

Many of the Burmese migrants are from ethnic minority groups, such as the Mon, the Karen and the Shan, and have fled from Burmese army oppression and human rights abuses.

To verify their Burmese nationality, migrant workers have to submit detailed biographical information to the Burmese military. Many fear for their safety and of repercussions against family members in Burma if they turn up at the military government offices for nationality verification registration.

The rights groups say very limited public awareness has been raised about the national verification process and its benefits, both for migrant workers and employers.

The right groups have called on the Burmese government to send their officials to verify their people's nationalities in Thailand in order to encourage Burmese migrant workers to register. Due to a lack of information and awareness about the national verification process, they say many migrant workers have chosen to stay away from the process.

The Cambodian and Lao governments have sent their officials to Thailand to complete the process in previous years. However, the Burmese government has refused the demand and wants all migrant workers to go to three border points––Myawaddy, Tachilek and Kawthoung––for nationality verification registration.
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Burma electoral laws ‘70 percent complete’

Jan 15, 2010 (DVB)–The majority of Burma’s electoral laws have been completed and will be rounded off in a matter of months, the Thai foreign minister reported after a meeting with his Burmese counterpart.

Speculation has been rife over the possible date of Burma’s first elections since 1990, with eyes now fixed to the latter part of 2010, most likely October. The ruling junta has confirmed only that they will be held this year.

A number of potential runners in the elections have said however that the lack of confirmation from the ruling junta of both the date and the laws governing polling has hindered their ability to prepare, and may force their withdrawal.

Thai foreign minister Kasit Piromya told Reuters yesterday after a meeting with Nyan Win that “60 to 70 percent” of the electoral and political party laws had been completed.

“You take another two or three months to make it 100 percent, so it will take you by that time from the mathematical, or the guessing point of view, to the middle of this year,” he said. “So, I think the elections would be most probably in the second half.”

According to information leaked from a meeting between the head of a prominent Japanese charity and the chief of the Union Solidarity and Development Association (USDA), a proxy of the Burmese junta, the elections will be held in October, most likely on the 10th.

The 10/10/2010 date would be in keeping with the junta’s fixation on numerology, which has dictated many of the key decisions of the military since it took power, including currency devaluations and the 1990 election date.

Nyan Win also sought to assure Piromya that elections would be “free and fair”, following criticism from the international community that constitution, supposedly ratified by 92 percent of the country in the weeks following cyclone Nargis in May 2008, would entrench military rule.

Indonesia’s foreign minister echoed international concerns but said that delays to announcing the election date may remedy this.

“For us the main criterion, or the main preoccupation, would be that we have that necessary positive, democratic atmosphere for a credible election to take place,” he said, after meeting Nyan Win at an Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) meeting in Vietnam.

“It’s best to allow things for such conditions to be established rather than to rush into it and then we have a situation where the ideal condition is not there.”

Reporting by Francis Wade
Myanmar minister pledges free election: ASEAN
Thu Jan 14, 6:59 am ET


DANANG, Vietnam (AFP) – Myanmar's foreign minister has told Southeast Asian counterparts that promised elections would be held this year and would be fair, the ASEAN secretary general said Thursday.

Surin Pitsuwan said the military-ruled state's Foreign Minister Nyan Win made the comments at a dinner Wednesday in Vietnam with his counterparts from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

"That was done last night and it was assured that it will be this year, and it will be free, fair and credible," Surin told reporters on the sidelines of an ASEAN foreign ministers' meeting.

"No date has been set, but everything is moving on course. That's what we were told."

Marty Natalegawa, foreign minister of ASEAN's largest member Indonesia, said, "We've also been told that the preparations are well under way."

Surin said the ASEAN ministers "have expressed their high hope that the issue of Myanmar will be resolved this year and that we can move on to the new era of ASEAN relations and cooperation with the international community."

ASEAN, which has a principle of non-interference in members' affairs, has long faced criticism for not taking a firmer stand on Myanmar.

Nyan Win refused to make any comment to AFP on Thursday.

"How the election is conducted, how it is perceived, will help a great deal in shaping (the) international community's perception about our region," Natalegawa told reporters.
But he added that ASEAN will not be "held hostage" by the issue.

The United States and the 10-member ASEAN bloc agreed in November that Myanmar's scheduled 2010 elections must be "free, fair, inclusive and transparent" to be credible.

The call came after US President Barack Obama and Myanmar Prime Minister Thein Sein took part in the first-ever ASEAN-US summit in, a reversal of a longstanding US policy of shunning the Myanmar regime.

Critics of the junta are demanding that detained opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi's party, the National League for Democracy, be allowed to take part in the ballot.

Last week the United States voiced doubts whether elections in Myanmar -- formerly known as Burma -- would be credible and urged the junta to engage the opposition and ethnic minorities.

The election would be the first since 1990. Aung San Suu Kyi's party won the last ballot by a landslide but was never permitted to take office.

Reclusive junta leader Than Shwe last week urged citizens to make "correct choices" at the polls. The regime has so far failed to set a date or issue election laws despite promising to hold the polls this year.
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Africa-Asia eclipse set to kick off astronomers' year
Wed Jan 13, 12:05 pm ET

PARIS (AFP) – For half the world, the Sun will be briefly reduced to a blazing ring surrounding a sombre disk on Friday, when an annular eclipse races from central Africa to eastern Asia, astronomers say.

The solar coverup, visible in a roughly 300-kilometre (185-mile) band running 12,900 kms (8,062 miles), will at one point set a duration record that will be unbeaten for more than a thousand years.

An annular eclipse occurs when the Moon passes directly in front of the Sun but does not completely obscure it, thus leaving a ring -- an annulus -- of sunlight flaring around the lunar disk.

According to NASA's eclipse website (http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEmono/ASE2010/ASE2010.html), the Moon's shadow will strike the southwestern tip of Chad and western Central African Republic at 0514 GMT and then flit across Uganda, Kenya, and Somalia.

Its path then leads across the Indian Ocean, where the duration of "annularity" at 0706 GMT will be 11 minutes, eight seconds, making it "the longest annular eclipse of the 3rd Millennium," says NASA.

Only on December 23, 3043 will this record be beaten.

The lunar umbra, or shadow, then zips across Bangladesh, India, Myanmar and China before expiring in the Shandong peninsula at 0859 GMT.

People in a broader path of the shadow, which includes eastern Europe, most of Africa, Asia and Indonesia, will see a partial eclipse.

It will be the last annular solar eclipse for 29 months.

Compared to other years, the number of eclipses in 2010 is meagre although they provide an "interesting mix" for watchers, the US magazine Sky & Telescope says in its January issue.

Apart from Friday's event, the only coverup of the Sun this year will take place on July 11, when a total eclipse will cross the Pacific, visible notably from Easter Island, one of the world's remotest inhabited locations.

Total eclipses occur because of an unusual trick of celestial geometry.

The Sun is 400 times wider than the Moon, but it is also 400 times farther away. Because of the symmetry, the umbra, for those on the planetary surface, is exactly wide enough to cover the face of the Sun.

The orbits of the Earth and Moon are not completely circular, though. Tiny differences in distance explain why some eclipses are complete and others leave a thin ring of sunlight.

On December 21, 2010 -- solstice day -- there will be a total lunar eclipse, in which the full Moon will be covered completely by Earth's shadow for the first time in three years, according to Sky & Telescope.
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INTERVIEW - Myanmar polls likely in 2nd half of yr - Thai FM
Thu Jan 14, 2010 5:08pm IST

By John Ruwitch

DANANG, Vietnam (Reuters) - Myanmar will likely hold its long-awaited election in the second half of this year because the ruling junta is still crafting the legal framework for the vote, Thailand's foreign minister said on Thursday.

Kasit Piromya made the comments after a meeting with Myanmar counterpart Nyan Win during which he was told that 60-70 percent of the election and political party laws were completed.

"You take another two or three months to make it 100 percent, so it will take you by that time from the mathematical, or the guessing point of view, to the middle of this year," Kasit told Reuters in an interview.

"So, I think the elections would be most probably in the second half."

Myanmar's reclusive junta has been silent on the timing of the election, and Nyan Win's comment to Kasit would be a rare indication of the level of progress towards holding the vote.

Nyan Win declined to answer reporters' questions on multiple occasions during a meeting of Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) foreign ministers in central Vietnam.

Nyan Win briefed the other foreign ministers on the preparations at a dinner on Wednesday night, but he gave no indication of the timing.

"It was assured that it will be this year and it will be free, fair and credible, and the ASEAN ministers have expressed their hope the issue of Myanmar will be resolved this year and that we can move on to the new era of ASEAN relations and cooperation with the international community," Surin Pitsuwan, ASEAN secretary general, told reporters.

"No date has been set but everything is moving on course. That's what we were told."

NO RUSH

Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty Natalegawa, who also met Nyan Win on the sidelines of the Vietnam meeting, said there was no rush, as long as the vote takes place this year, and is carried out fairly and democratically, as the junta has promised.

"For us the main criterion, or the main preoccupation, would be that we have that necessary positive, democratic atmosphere for a credible election to take place," he told reporters.

"It's best to allow things for such conditions to be established rather than to rush into it and then we have a situation where the ideal condition is not there."
Little is known about the junta's legal preparations.

Critics of the army-drafted constitution say Myanmar's legislature will be dominated by the military and their civilian stooges, with limited powers and representation for dozens of ethnic groups or established opposition parties.

Myanmar's last election, in 1990, ended with a landslide win for Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy party, but the junta ignored the result and has since jailed more than 2,000 activists and political opponents, many for minor offences.

Suu Kyi herself has been under house arrest or other sort of detention for 14 of the last 20 years.

The election in the former British colony has already been widely dismissed as a means to entrench nearly five decades of unbroken military rule, with the junta hoping a public vote would legitimise its monopoly of national politics.

The notoriously secretive regime has yet to say who can take part in the polls. Several major ethnic groups are resisting calls to join the political process, saying they have nothing to gain.

Many analysts believe the delay in naming an election date is to give the government more time to bring the ethnic groups on board, either voluntarily or through military force.
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Barrett at center of military radio storm
Published: Jan. 14, 2010 at 11:00 AM


CANBERRA, Australia, Jan. 14 (UPI) -- Barrett Communications has denied reports that its advanced 2050 mobile transceivers have been sold to the Myanmar military and are even capable of frequency hopping.

The Perth-based company has faced a barrage of criticism in Australian media that claim the radios have encryption-style frequency-hopping technology that makes it impossible for other organizations to monitor the military's communications. If they did have that technology, they would need an export license from the Department of Defense, a company statement said.

Philip Bradshaw, managing director of Barrett Communications, has "reacted angrily" to the reports, saying that in 2009 and previously in 2005 and 2006, "we sent around 50 radio sets to Burma."

But Bradshaw denied reports that they were sold to the ruling Myanmar military. He said Barrett has sold only commercial radios to the country, formerly called Burma.

"Our company never sold any military equipment to the Burmese regime and never will," Bradshaw said. He noted that Australian companies cannot sell military equipment to the Myanmar army as there are sanctions imposed on Myanmar.

A frequency-hopping radio is capable of sending its signals out "hopping" many times a second across many frequencies within a bandwidth. Unless receivers have a special code to follow in synchronization the hopping pattern, it is impossible to maintain radio contact. This renders the hopping network virtually impossible to intercept or jam.

Only the network users who have programmed their radios with the same frequency, sideband and hopping code can communicate.

A report in the Sydney Morning Herald newspaper noted that the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade said it understood no radios supplied by Barrett to Myanmar had frequency-hopping or encryption options, which would be included in Australia's ban on export of military goods to the army-ruled nation.

But Australian National University intelligence expert Desmond Ball has claimed that Barrett 2050 radios are being used at a high level by Myanmar army commands and they had both encryption and frequency-hopping functions.

''I have been present when communications using Barrett 2050 transmitters have been received and can assure you they are being used in both encrypted and frequency-hopping modes,'' he said. He also said that it was possible the sets had been sold on by an intermediary to the military and modified after being received in Myanmar.

Barrett is set to supply 50 more of the radios, which will have modems for data transmission. However, the company would not disclose the buyer, citing commercial confidence.

Some opposition politicians have rounded on Barrett Communications. Green Party Sens. Scott Ludlam and Rachel Siewert said they had information from monitors inside Myanmar that Barrett sold the radios to the military.

"I find it unconscionable that we should allow Australian companies to aid and abet this regime's repressive crackdown ahead of the sham 2010 election," Ludlam said in a statement. "The tide is turning against the brutality of Burma's regime and Australia should be leading that chorus, not aiding it with the transfer of vital technology."

Various defense news Web sites report that Myanmar is using the radios, whether or not they were sold directly to the regime, often heavily criticized for brutal crackdowns on various ethnic disturbances. A report on Army-technology.com suggests that the radios, weighing around 5 pounds, have a flexible soft-core processor and powerful digital signal processing system that provides very low power consumption, and delivers superior reception and noise reduction.

The 2050 switches messages quickly between about 500 frequencies, making them hard for enemy forces to intercept. The new radio sets are being used by the army headquarters in the new capital city of Naypyidaw and also at the army's central, eastern and northeastern commands involved in long-running campaigns against Shan and other insurgent forces.

Barrett sells its communications products worldwide, including to the U.S. State Department's Export Control and Related Border Security initiative according to a comment piece on Web site Zimbio. Barrett has also been providing HF radios to U.N. peace keepers for the past five years and is reported to be negotiating another five-year sole-source contract with the U.N. organization.

A comment piece on the Zimbio Web site suggested that it remains to be seen "how long the U.N. will continue to buy radios from a company appearing to support just the types of regime it attempts to oppose."
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EarthTimes - Myanmar opposition party gets new blood on executive committee
Posted : Thu, 14 Jan 2010 10:09:55 GMT


Yangon - Myanmar's National League for Democracy (NLD) opposition party on Thursday announced an expansion of its central executive committee, weeks after Aung San Suu Kyi called for reforms. The NLD has added nine new members to the existing 11-man central executive committee, which has led the party for two decades and includes several octogenarians.

The new party executives are Than Nyein, Ohn Kyaing, Win Myint, Tun Tun Hein, Win Naing, Nyan Win, Han Tha Myint, Thein Nyunt and May Win Myint, a relatively younger lot of elected members of parliament.

Political observers said the move was a transitional step paving the way for the older NLD leaders to resign.

Aung San Suu Kyi, the NLD's imprisoned general secretary, was permitted to meet with three senior NLD executives on December 16 to discuss party reforms.

Authorities escorted her from her Yangon house-cum-prison to a government guesthouse where she was allowed to meet with NLD central executive committee members Lun Tin, 88; U Lwin, 86; and Aung Shwe, 91.

The threesome are known locally as "the world's oldest active political party leaders."

"Daw [Madame] Aung San Suu Kyi asked for permission to reform the NLD central executive committee, and the three top leaders agreed with her," U Lwin said after the meeting.

The leadership of Myanmar's 2-decade-old opposition party has been widely criticized for showing a lack of initiative and unity during the past six years as Suu Kyi was kept under detention in near-isolation from her party.

Suu Kyi, who won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1991 for her leadership of Myanmar's pro-democracy movement, remains the only well-known NLD leader outside the country, a reflection of the lacklustre nature of the party's central committee.

It was still unclear whether the NLD would contest a general election planned this year by Myanmar's ruling military junta.

Western governments have said the election would lack credibility if Suu Kyi and the NLD are not permitted to participate.

It was unlikely that Suu Kyi would be freed before the polls. Suu Kyi has spent 14 of the past 20 years under house arrest and in August was sentenced to an additional 18 month of home detention.

She was under house arrest when Myanmar held its last election in 1990, but if anything, her detention then helped the NLD romp to a landslide victory.

The success surprised the military, who blocked the NLD from taking power on the pretext that the country was not yet ready for civilian rule and needed a new constitution, which took 19 years to write.

Myanmar has been under military rule since 1962.
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The Temasek Review (blog) - Myanmar national with poor command of English working as “accounts executive” in Singapore
January 14, 2010 by admin

Written by Our Correspondent

The Straits Times reported today of a 26 year old Myanmar national Yin Yin Oo signed up for free English classes at a Community Club because she needed “help” in spoken English.

She has been working in Singapore as an “accounts executive” for over a year.

While it is not revealed what she does exactly, it is highly unlikely that she is a professional accountant by training when she admits that “she was at the ‘intermediate’ level in reading and writing”.

In all likelihood, Ms Yin is probably doing some simple book-keeping at a local SME which employed her due to lower wage demands.

With due respect to Ms Yin, her job can be easily taken over by any Singaporean with a ITE or “O” level certificate.

The ruling party has been defending its “foreign talent” policy on the ground that foreigners are needed to fill vacancies in certain sectors shunned by locals such as construction, nursing and IT support services.

However, in the past few years, we have seen an increasing number of foreigners on S-passes (S for semi-skilled) flocking to work in Singapore.

These semi-skilled foreign workers compete directly with Singaporeans for jobs which otherwise belong to them such as nursery school teachers, administrators, clinic assistants, IT engineers and “accounts executives”.

They are in high demand due to their lower wages which help to raise the profit margins of small businesses.

A PRC nursery school teacher commands a monthly salary of only $1,200 to $1,400 compared to Singaporean who fetches more than $2,000.

Given a choice, any employer will hire the cheaper PRC and save $800 – $1,000 in wages monthly.

It is impossible for local workers to compete with these so-called “foreign talents.” A PRC living alone in Singapore can survive with that kind of salary, but what about a Singaporean with a family to feed?

The question is: why are these PRCs allowed to work in Singapore at all when their qualifications are a suspect in the first place? (like the infamous Zhang Yuanyuan who came to Singapore armed with a diploma from an unknown institution in China; she got her PR within 2 months of application)

The Manpower Ministry should release more information on the number of foreign workers in Singapore on S-passes, their occupations as well as the percentage who are granted Singapore PRs to enable Singaporeans to better assess if these foreigners are indeed “talents” or “thrash”.

A recent article by Wall Street Journal suggested that the influx of foreigners into Singapore in the last few years has led directly to the stagnation of wages of blue-collar workers, widening of the income gap between the rich and the poor, overall decrease in labor productivity and standards of living.

Singapore companies must start thinking of ways to boost their productivity and reduce their over-dependence on foreign workers.

Ms Yin will probably not be able to find work in any other first world country with the exception of Singapore.

More stringent criteria should be put in place so that we only recruit foreigners in selected sectors which genuinely face manpower shortage due to difficulties in employing locals.
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ASEAN Political Security Community Council holds third meeting in Vietnam
www.chinaview.cn 2010-01-14 21:11:42


DANANG, VIETNAM, Jan. 14 (Xinhua) -- The third meeting of the Political Security Community Council of the Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) was held here on Thursday.

ASEAN foreign ministers, their representatives and ASEAN secretary-general Surin Pitsuwan attended the meeting.

Participants agreed on the need to further enhance information sharing and coordination among the bodies of the ASEAN Political Security Community Council, according to a press release here on Thursday.

The meeting asked the ASEAN senior officials to finalize the guidelines for the accession to the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation (TAC) in Southeast Asia and the third protocol amending the TAC for the European Union to officially accede to the treaty.

TAC was signed at the first ASEAN summit to promote regional peace, friendship and cooperation.

The meeting assigned the senior officials to develop a plan of action to implement the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) Vision Statement, which is to be submitted to the ARF Ministerial Meeting in July 2010.

Vietnam, as the 10-member ASEAN Chair this year, made a proposal to hold the first meeting of defense ministers of ASEAN and its partners, according to the press release.
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Spero News - ‎Myanmar: Military junta rewards arms traffickers with prize for their “contribution” to football developm
Two powerful businessmen get the “Thiri Pyanch”, a title once awarded on humanitarian grounds. The two men set up Myanmar’s national football league but are better known for arms and gems trafficking in the service of the junta.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
By Asia News


Yangon – Instead of people who made positive contributions to society, cronies associated with Myanmar’s military junta are given prizes. Tay Za and Zaw Zaw, two of the most powerful and richest businessmen in the country, were awarded on 4 January, Independence Day, one of Myanmar’s highest honours, the “Thiri Pyanchi,” a prize dropped in 1978 by then dictator Ne Win but recently reintroduced. State-run media made no mention of the honours conferred on the two men, both of whom are viewed as arms traffickers by the international community, The Irrawaddy reported.

Tay Za chairs the Htoo Group of Companies and Zaw Zaw runs the Max Myanmar Group of Companies. They were honoured with the title for their “outstanding work” in helping Myanmar develop its economy and for their contributions to the development of professional football (soccer) in the country. In fact, their close ties to the junta's top generals have won them lucrative business concessions in a number of key industries, including logging, gems and jewellery, tourism and transportation.

In complete disregard of the law and human rights, the two have been involved in international trade, exporting rice, rubber and other agricultural products and importing machines. Last year, they both entered the field of professional sports promotion, playing a key role in the creation of Myanmar’s new national football league. They are also among the largest investors in the regime’s newly built Yadanabon Cyber City near Mandalay.

Although dominant figures in Myanmar’s business world, they are international pariahs. Both they and their companies are under Western sanctions.

According to the US Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control, Tay Za is “an arms dealer and financial henchman of Burma's repressive junta,” whilst Zaw Zaw’s Max Myanmar has provided important services in support of the regime, particularly in the form of construction projects.

Chan Tun, a veteran politician in Rangoon, said that in the past, the title of Thiri Pyanchi was awarded to hardworking officials and businessmen whose efforts benefited the people. “Now it is for cronies who contribute to the businesses of the generals.”
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13 Januari, 2010 14:24 PM
Visiting Foreigners In Myanmar Taking Up Position To View Solar Eclipse


YANGON, Jan 13 (Bernama) -- Foreigners visiting Myanmar have arrived at a number of the most ideal locations in the country to take up position to watch the millennium's longest solar eclipse, which will take place on Friday, China's Xinhua news agency reported Wednesday.

These locations are selected as Ngapali, Bagan, Popa, Mandalay Hill, Sagaing Hill and Monywa, and hotels in these areas have been packed with foreign travellers.

The annual solar eclipse with the longest duration of 11 minutes and 8 seconds in the 21st century, will be visible in Sittway in the west, Shwebo, Mandalay and Monywa in the central region, and Pyin Oo Lwin and Lashio in the east and northeast of Myanmar.

The astronomical phenomenon will begin in Myanmar at about 1:00 p.m. (Myanmar Standard Time) which will last for 3:30 hours until 4:30 p.m., said Myanmar's Meteorology and Hydrology Department, adding that the eclipse will reach its maximum between 3:05 p.m. and 3:15 p.m.

The Jan 15 annual solar eclipse will start from central Africa and move across the Indian Ocean, southern India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Myanmar and China.

Astronomers in Myanmar said there will be two solar eclipses in the year 2010 and Myanmar will witness the first event on Jan 15, while the next one in July 1 would not be visible in the country.

Myanmar will only see such solar eclipse again on July 22, 2085, the astronomers added.
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The New Straits Times - Mother and son caught at border
2010/01/14


PADANG BESAR: A two-yearold boy and his mother were among six Myanmar nationals detained by General Operations Force recently for trying to enter the country illegally.

Commanding officer of the first battalion, north brigade, Superintendent Mohamad Mashud Mardzuki said the foreigners tried to cross the border here at 4pm on Tuesday.

Mashud said early investigations revealed that they had paid RM500 each to a "tekong" who was supposed to be waiting for them at the Malaysian side of the border and would then be transported to Penang and guaranteed a job.

The foreigners would be handed over to the state Immigration Department for further investigation.
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The Asian Age - Ulfa hunt: China refuses help
MANOJ ANAND
Guwahati


Jan. 13: China has refused to cooperate with Indian authorities in tracking down the elusive Ulfa chief Paresh Baruah, who is said to have been taking shelter in its Yunnan province adjoining the Kachin state of northern Burma. Disclosing that China has outright rejected the existence of Ulfa rebels in its territory, an authoritative security sources in the home ministry told this newspaper that they have conclusive evidence of Ulfa chief Paresh Baruah’s presence in Yunnan province of China with a detachment of about 8-10 Ulfa cadres.

"The issue was taken up with Chinese counterpart in a meeting at the official level recently but they refused to accept. They denied to have any information in this regard," he said, adding that it seems to be a deliberate and planned policy of China of harbouring insurgent groups of Northeast. "The fact was also corroborated by frequent visit of Naga insurgent leaders Issac Swu and Anthony Shimray to Beijing," he said.

The Chinese authorities were also given some inputs on Ulfa chief’s movement along Kachin range of Burma, the security sources said pointing out that though, officials of Kachin Independence Army (KIA), an ethnic armed rebel group in Burma also denies but there are evidences of KIA helping Ulfa rebels in Kachin state of Burma. The security sources said that KIA was also instrumental in facilitating shelter to Ulfa chief inside Yunnan province of China.

Apart from Ulfa, other separatist groups of northeast such as Manipur’s People’s Liberation Army and the United National Liberation Front also have their bases in Kachin state and access to China.

Revealing that China was also reluctant in intervening in to the trade of illegal arms being run from its territory, the security sources said that most of the separatist outfits, even those holding ceasefire in Assam and Manipur, are procuring arms from China.
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The Irrawaddy - Ethnic Leaders Reject Election
By BA KAUNG - Thursday, January 14, 2010


Several ethnic leaders elected in Burma's 1990 election reaffirmed this week that they will not participate in the planned election this year without a review of the 2008 Constitutional and the release of all political prisoners—two major demands they have been pressing for since early last year.

“We will not found any political party if the 2008 Constitution cannot guarantee us equality and autonomy,” said 76-year-old Thar Ban, the acting chairman of the Arakan League for Democracy.

Pu Cin Sian Thang, a spokesman for the United Nationalities Alliance (UNA), a coalition of 12 ethnic parties which contested and won 67 seats in the 1990 election, said that the alliance's attitude toward the planned election is not much different from the National League for Democracy's (NLD) Shwegondaing Declaration.

The Shwegondaing Declaration, released by the NLD in April last year, calls for a review of the controversial Constitution, political dialogue and the unconditional release of all political prisoners, including its leader, Aung San Suu Kyi.

“The reason for this stand is that we contributed to the Shwegondaing Declaration even though it was not publicly known,” said Pu Cin Sian Thang, who is also the chairman of the Zomi National Congress, an ethnic Chin political party.

Many of the 12 parties comprising the UNA were abolished after the 1990 election by the military regime, which cited various reasons—one of them for not having enough membership on their central executive committees.

In February last year, the UNA issued a statement condemning the Constitution as a means to make Burma's ethnic nationalities subordinates to the Burman majority, and because it hands “supreme power” to the military's commander in chief.

“Our participation in the election without changing the undemocratic elements of the Constitution would validate this whole Constitution as soon as the first session of parliament is held,” said Pu Cin Sian Thang in a telephone interview with The Irrawaddy.

He said the Zomi National Congress will base its decision on how the NLD responds at that time. However, soon after the regime announces the electoral law, many political groups including the NLD and the UNA will have to announce their final decision on whether to participate or not.

“We will not follow exactly what the NLD does,” he added. “But we have to look at its responses since it represents the majority of the people.

“However,” he added, “if the Constitution remains unchanged, we will in no way join in the election.”

Another ethnic leader, Naing Ngwe Thein, who is the chairman of the Mon National Democratic Front, said his political party's position on the election is the same as the UNA's.

But while a stalemate remains between the regime and several ethnic cease-fire groups, such as the United Wa State Army and the Kachin Independence Army, over the Border Guard Force proposal, other ethnic leaders like Dr. Tuja, the former vice-president of the Kachin Independence Organization, have stated their willingness to participate in the election.

“We have no objection if anyone wants to join in the election,” said Naing Ngwe Thein. “But history will judge who is on the right side and who is on the wrong side.”
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The Irrawaddy - Eclipse over Burma a Bad Omen, Say Astrologers
By ARKAR MOE - Thursday, January 14, 2010


A solar eclipse visible over most of Burma on January 15 is being interpreted by many Burmese astrologers as a bad omen for the country’s military rulers, who have banned any public speculation about the meaning of the phenomenon.

The eclipse, lasting three and a half hours, is an annular one, meaning the moon will only partially cover the sun, leaving a "ring of fire."

Myat Myat Aye, a registrar of the Myanmar [Burma] Astro Research Bureau, confirmed that Burmese astrologers were looking for omens. "But it's too early to make predictions," she told The Irrawaddy on Thursday.

"If we see a rainbow or a clear sky after the eclipse, then that is a good omen," she said. "But if the sky is gloomy, it is bad omen.”

The eclipse will send a 300km wide shadow over Africa and Asia, beginning in Chad and ending in China. It will last longest—more than 11 minutes—over the Indian Ocean, making it the longest-lasting annular eclipse this century.

The eclipse will be visible in Burma from 1 p.m. On Friday until 4.30 p.m.

Astrology researcher Ashin Eindachaka, who lives in Bangladesh, told The Irrawaddy on Thursday that because of its length the eclipse heralded bad times. "All should pray and make merit during the eclipse."

The eclipse is leading to a small boom in tourism, with local people and foreign visitors congregating at locations where it will be most visible—Ngapali, Bagan, Popa, Mandalay Hill, Sagaing Hill and Monywa.

Live coverage of the eclipse will also be carried by state-run MRTV-3.
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NLD restructures top decision-making body
Thursday, 14 January 2010 16:38
Salai Han Thar San

New Delhi (Mizzima) – A second woman is set to join the Central Executive Committee (CEC) of Burma’s main opposition party, National League for Democracy (NLD), as the party today formally announced the expansion of its principle policy organ.

In a statement on Thursday, the NLD announced the addition of nine new members to its CEC, including Dr. May Win Myint, an elected Member of Parliament from Mayankone Township, and Dr. Than Nyein, the brother-in-law of the former Military Intelligence (MI) Chief and purged Prime Minister Khin Nyunt.

Dr. May Win Myint will be the second woman to serve on the NLD’s steering committee after the party’s detained General Secretary Aung San Suu Kyi. Before her arrest in 1997, she led the NLD’s women’s wing.

Dr. Than Nyein has also served long prison terms, only recently being released in September 2008 along with fellow NLD leaders Win Tin and Khin Maung Swe. Despite being the brother-in-law of purged Prime Minister Khin Nyunt, Dr. Than Nyein is one of the founding members of the NLD.

The NLD said it is choosing to expand that CEC in order to allow younger generations to participate and to ease party activities.

Dr. Win Naing, another of the added CEC members, told Mizzima on Thursday that his appointment as a new member of the CEC means more responsibilities and more tasks to carry out.

“I don’t think there is anything to be delighted about with being appointed as a new CEC member. There is more work and responsibility,” Dr. Win Naing articulated.

Other newly appointed members are Win Myint, a member of the NLD’s Legal Committee, Tun Tun Hein, a Minister of Parliament-elect from Naung Cho in Shan State, Nyan Win, a Minister of Parliament-elect from Ahpaung Township, Han Thar Myint, a Minister of Parliament-elect from Buhthalin Township, Thein Nyunt, a Miniser of Parliament-elect from Thingankyun Township, and Ohn Kyaing, a member of the Central Information Committee.

With the additional nine members added, the NLD’s CEC now numbers 20. However, with party Vice-Chair Tin Oo and General Secretary Aung San Suu Kyi still under house arrest, the party is left with only 18 members able to carry out daily work.

The expansion of the CEC comes after detained party General Secretary Aung San Suu Kyi in December held a meeting with three of the party’s aging leaders – Chairman Aung Shwe, Secretary U Lwin and Lun Tin – at which they reportedly discussed the expansion issue.

While the NLD’s official statement said the expansion is aimed at increasing the party’s work and efficiency, some observers also say the timing is attributable to the scheduled general election to be held later this year.

Nyo Ohn Myint, an exiled political observer and member of the NLD in exile Foreign Affairs Committee, said expanding the CEC at this time is the right thing to do, as the year 2010 could possibly see a political tug-of-war between the ruling junta and opposition.

He added that it is important for the NLD, as the leading mainstream opposition, to strengthen its steering committee with younger generations, as several party leaders are aging and in poor health.

The Burmese military junta has declared a general election in 2010 as part of its seven-step roadmap to democracy. The election, according to the junta, will pave the way for the installation of a civilian government.

But the NLD, along with several other opposition groups, has demanded the junta first release all political prisoners and revise the 2008 constitution, the foundation of the assumed new government.

The CEC’s 11 incumbent members are: Chairman Aung Shwe (92), Vice-Chairman Tin Oo, General Secretary Aung San Suu Kyi, Secretary U Lwin (86), Lun Tin (89), Win Tin (80), Soe Myint (87), Hla Pe, Than Tun, Khin Maung Swe and Nyunt Wai.

The expansion was agreed upon at a meeting on January 11th held at the party’s headquarters on West Shwegondine Street in Rangoon.
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Three activists sentenced to three years each
Wednesday, 13 January 2010 19:47
Myint Maung

New Delhi (Mizzima) - A township court in Burma’s former capital city of Rangoon on Wednesday sentenced three opposition party members to three years imprisonment each.

The defendants, members of the humanitarian committee of Burma’s main opposition party, National League for Democracy (NLD), were charged with unlawful association and handed three year sentences with hard labor by the Insein Township court, according to their lawyer, Kyaw Hoe, who was present at the court session on Wednesday.

Shwe Joe, a resident of Hlaing Township, Sein Hlaing, a resident of San Chaung Township, and Ma Cho of Ahlone Township were accused of communicating with the NLD in exile and accepting cash from an individual named Sein Hlaing in the amount of 15 million kyat (USD 15,000).

Kyaw Hoe said the trial took no civilian testimony and that no evidence was provided in support of the guilty charge, a verdict based solely on the police testimony.

“We [the defense] in our argument demanded acquittal. But the prosecution lawyer stood up and said the accused are found guilty based on prosecution witness testimony and should thus be sentenced,” Kyaw Hoe extrapolated.

The defendants, however, denied having communicated with the NLD in exile, rejecting all charges.

“In our argument, we demanded the prosecution provide us the witness testimonies that found the accused guilty. But the court did not provide any evidence when handing down the verdict today,” he added.

The accused were arrested from their Rangoon residences on March 6, 2009, after which they were detained in Insein prison.
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Activists sentenced ‘without evidence’

Jan 14, 2010 (DVB)–Three Burmese opposition activists were sentenced yesterday to three years’ with hard labour, despite the prosecution being unable to provide any palpable evidence for their charges, a lawyer said.

The three National League for Democracy (NLD) party members were charged under the Unlawful Associations Act for allegedly accepting money from a member of the banned NLD-Liberated Areas (NLD-LA) party, Eva.

Lawyer Kyaw Ho said that the trial judge, Tin Swe Lin, had given the three, Shwe Gyo, Ma Cho (also known as Myint Myint San) and Sein Hlaing, harsh sentences despite a lack of solid evidence.

“There were neither eye-witnesses nor paperwork evidence that [the three] had accepted money from Eva,” said Kyaw Ho. “We cannot accept such a ruling on legal grounds and we are preparing to appeal.”

The three were arrested in March last year and have been kept in detention since, although Kyaw Ho said the time already spent in detention will not be subtracted from their sentence.

“There is an official court guideline stating that the amount of time a person has spent in detention during the trial has to be subtracted from the prison term,” he said, adding that this would also be appealed.

There had been prior speculation that the three were being targeted for their work in helping political prisoners, although there was no mention of this from Kyaw Ho.

Several NLD members reported last month that they were being forced by Burmese intelligence officers to divulge details about their families and jobs, reportedly on instruction from senior government.

Others were reportedly being photographed and told to fill out questionnaires, although the NLD sent out a directive to members urging them not to comply.

Analysts believe pressure against the NLD and other opposition groups is likely to increase this year as the ruling junta prepares for its first elections since 1990, when it ignored a landslide victory by the NLD.

Reporting by Khin Hnin Htet